Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Gyumri City Stadium (Gyumri)


	Shirak Gyumri		Ararat-Armenia

	1	X	2
	6.00	4.10	1.41
	6.00	4.10	1.40
	7.76	4.60	1.37
	6.24	4.18	1.45	Watch
	6.25	4.27	1.48	Watch
	6.40	4.20	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.44 ↓ (6.6)	4.24 ↓ (4.25)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shirak Gyumri
14.1%

Draw
21.5%

Ararat-Armenia
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

21.3%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

20.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shirak Gyumri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ararat-Armenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shirak Gyumri than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ararat-Armenia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Shirak Gyumri - Ararat Armenia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Karapetyan L. (G) 8. Darbinyan L. 90. Gyamfi R. 27. Karamoko Fofana A. 10. Kodia D. 71. Mesamba B. 6. Misakyan R. 4. Mnatsakanyan H. 2. Pahlevanyan H. 5. Sumbulyan T. 19. Tsarukyan S.	1. Nersesyan A. (G) 8. Balanta J. A. 70. Benny 17. Carlier M. 95. Franca Carlos 3. Junior Julio (C) 5. Luis Felipe 14. Pereira B. 91. Sandro Lima 77. Serobyan A. 43. Wilson Valdez B. R.
Substitutes
25. Akulyan G. 28. Bamba L. 3. Coulibaly D. I. 45. Ermakov V. (G) 18. Ghukasyan S. 77. Ghumashyan G. 16. Harutyunyan K. 1. Hovhannisyan H. (G) 7. Janoyan N. 11. Manukyan S. 20. Mkrtchyan R. 66. Sargsyan V.	10. Ambartsumyan A. 90. Ayongo P. 6. Ayvazyan M. 11. Banjaqui Z. 9. Eloyan A. 16. Grigoryan E. 98. Joao Bravim (G) 47. Malis A. 19. Muradyan K. 25. Ndour A. 7. Shaghoyan Z. 20. Tera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', Mnatsakanyan H. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Tsarukyan S. (Own goal),
23', 0 - 2, Junior Julio ⚽,
33', 0 - 3, Franca Carlos ⚽,
40', Grigoryan E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Serobyan A. 🟨,
52', Sargsyan V. 🟨,
74', 1 - 3, Mkrtchyan R. ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shirak won 0.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, Ararat-Armenia enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Shirak has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:53 (averaging 0.4:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shirak against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with 4:23 goals (averaging 0.4:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ararat-Armenia	8	6	1	1	17:8	9	19
7	Shirak Gyumri	8	3	1	4	11:10	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shirak Gyumri
Armenian Premier League
13.09.26	Pyunik - Shirak Gyumri	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Shirak Gyumri - Sardarapat	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Van - Shirak Gyumri	0:4 ✺
22.08.26	Shirak Gyumri - Urartu Yerevan	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Gandzasar - Shirak Gyumri	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWWLW
- FC Ararat-Armenia
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Ararat-Armenia - Sparta Prague	1:4 ✺
Armenian Premier League
11.09.26	Ararat-Armenia - Syunik	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Ararat - Ararat-Armenia	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Pyunik - Ararat-Armenia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Universitatea Craiova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
20.04.26	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat-Armenia	0:4
Armenian Cup
02.04.26	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat-Armenia	0:2
04.03.26	Ararat-Armenia - Shirak Gyumri	1:0
Armenian Premier League
01.12.25	Ararat-Armenia - Shirak Gyumri	4:1
24.08.25	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat-Armenia	0:1
03.05.25	Ararat-Armenia - Shirak Gyumri	5:1
22.10.24	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat-Armenia	0:3

Upcoming Matches