Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Gyumri City Stadium (Gyumri)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	Shirak Gyumri		Van

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.05	2.52
	2.64	3.52	2.33	Watch
	2.81	3.38	2.39	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.63)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	2.44 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shirak Gyumri
34.3%

Draw
28.1%

Van
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.6%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.6%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Shirak Gyumri have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Van has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Shirak Gyumri aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Van than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Shirak Gyumri - Van Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Karapetyan L. (G) 28. Akila J. 25. Akulyan G. 8. Darbinyan L. 99. Darbinyan R. 6. Misakyan R. (C) 20. Mkrtchyan R. 4. Mnatsakanyan H. 66. Sargsyan V. 22. Tarloyan M. 26. Vidic A.	1. Manukyan G. (G) 25. Bukhal G. 14. Eriki 3. Ferreira 6. Granado J. 88. James Santos 9. Kevin 13. Kirakosyan D. 5. Mkoyan H. (C) 4. Sidamonidze S. 11. Sousa
Substitutes
18. Ghukasyan S. 77. Ghumashyan G. 10. Hakobyan R. 30. Hovhanesyan G. 96. Hovhannisyan S. (G) 11. Manukyan S. 9. Mryan L. 2. Pahlevanyan H. 17. Papikyan E. 5. Sumbulyan T. 14. Tovmasyan V. 19. Vardanyan R.	33. Allef 38. Aslanov V. 45. Bokov D. (G) 2. Danielyan A. 69. Dedechko D. 24. Galstyan A. 59. Gyurjinyan H. (G) 10. Hovhannisyan B. 7. Jota 70. Manukyan N. 23. Mnatsakanyan A. 18. Reis S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Akila J. ⚽,
31', Akulyan G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', Kirakosyan D. (Pen),
58', 1 - 1, Ferreira ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Akulyan G. ⚽,
64', Darbinyan R. 🟨,
67', Sargsyan V. ↓, Manukyan S. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Granado J. ⚽, Sousa (A),
80', Kevin ↓, Jota ↑,
81', Tarloyan M. ↓, Tovmasyan V. ↑,
81', Misakyan R. ↓, Hakobyan R. ↑,
81', Akila J. ↓, Ghumashyan G. ↑,
84', Darbinyan L. 🟨,
85', Sousa ↓, Manukyan N. ↑,
89', Darbinyan L. ↓, Mryan L. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 3, Mkoyan H. (Pen),
90+6', Kirakosyan D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shirak won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Van may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Shirak won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:26. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Shirak won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shirak Gyumri
Armenian Cup
28.10.25	Araks Ararat - Shirak Gyumri	0:4 ✺
Armenian Premier League
24.10.25	Urartu Yerevan - Shirak Gyumri	5:0 ✺
17.10.25	Shirak Gyumri - Alashkert	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Alashkert - Shirak Gyumri	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Shirak Gyumri - Urartu Yerevan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLTL
- FC Van
Armenian Premier League
24.10.25	Alashkert - Van	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Van - Pyunik	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Pyunik - Van	5:1 ✺
29.09.25	Van - Alashkert	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Noah Yerevan - Van	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
19.09.25	Van - Shirak Gyumri	3:2
12.04.25	Shirak Gyumri - Van	0:1
02.12.24	Van - Shirak Gyumri	1:0
Armenian Cup
01.10.24	Shirak Gyumri - Van	0:3
Armenian Premier League
26.08.24	Shirak Gyumri - Van	0:2
18.04.24	Shirak Gyumri - Van	0:0
09.12.23	Van - Shirak Gyumri	4:0

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