Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Urartu Stadium (Yerevan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	Urartu Yerevan		Shirak Gyumri

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.55	6.5
	1.4	4.59	6.54
	1.37	4.56	6.89	Watch
	1.36	4.55	6.95	Watch
	1.3	4.9	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.31)	4.63 ↓ (4.98)	6.78 ↓ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urartu Yerevan
66.9%

Draw
19.6%

Shirak Gyumri
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

18.3%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

17.3%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urartu Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Shirak Gyumri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urartu Yerevan than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urartu Yerevan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shirak Gyumri than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Urartu Yerevan - Shirak Gyumri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Mishiev A. (G) 3. Piloyan E. 4. Ghazaryan A. 44. Tsymbalyuk Y. 88. Margaryan Z. (C) 8. Aghasaryan N. 7. Mkrtchyan S. 30. Bruno Michel 22. Mirzoyan M. 90. Polyakov O. 21. Vardanyan E.	96. Hovhannisyan S. (G) 18. Ghukasyan S. 4. Mnatsakanyan H. 5. Sumbulyan T. 99. Darbinyan R. 6. Misakyan R. (C) 20. Mkrtchyan R. 11. Manukyan S. 8. Darbinyan L. 22. Tarloyan M. 9. Mryan L.
Substitutes
6. Alef Santos 99. Ayvazyan K. 18. Bratkov A. 33. Dragojevic A. (G) 2. Gunko A. 53. Harutyunyan D. 23. Kaloukian N. 9. Llovet A. 1. Matinyan G. (G) 19. Melikyan A. 10. Melkonyan K. 11. Prince	25. Akulyan G. 77. Ghumashyan G. 10. Hakobyan R. 1. Hovhannisyan H. (G) 55. Karapetyan L. (G) 2. Pahlevanyan H. 17. Papikyan E. 66. Sargsyan V. 14. Tovmasyan V. 19. Vardanyan R. 88. Vardanyan Y. 26. Vidic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Bruno Michel ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Aghasaryan N. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Piloyan E. ⚽,
44', Mkrtchyan R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hovhannisyan S. ↓, Karapetyan L. ↑,
56', Mryan L. ↓, Hakobyan R. ↑,
56', Manukyan S. ↓, Ghumashyan G. ↑,
62', 4 - 0, Bruno Michel ⚽,
67', Margaryan Z. ↓, Prince ↑,
67', Aghasaryan N. ↓, Alef Santos ↑,
67', Tsymbalyuk Y. ↓, Melikyan A. ↑,
68', Misakyan R. ↓, Sargsyan V. ↑,
74', Mirzoyan M. ↓, Melkonyan K. ↑,
74', Vardanyan E. ↓, Kaloukian N. ↑,
75', Tarloyan M. ↓, Tovmasyan V. ↑,
75', Melkonyan K. 🟨,
79', 5 - 0, Melkonyan K. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urartu won 2.

Urartu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shirak has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Urartu is the obvious favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Urartu won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Urartu won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Urartu Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
18.10.25	Noah Yerevan - Urartu Yerevan	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Shirak Gyumri - Urartu Yerevan	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat	6:0 ✺
14.09.25	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTWWL
- Shirak Gyumri
Armenian Premier League
17.10.25	Shirak Gyumri - Alashkert	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Alashkert - Shirak Gyumri	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Shirak Gyumri - Urartu Yerevan	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Van - Shirak Gyumri	3:2 ✺
12.09.25	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
26.09.25	Shirak Gyumri - Urartu Yerevan	0:1
27.04.25	Shirak Gyumri - Urartu Yerevan	1:1
20.11.24	Urartu Yerevan - Shirak Gyumri	1:2
14.09.24	Shirak Gyumri - Urartu Yerevan	0:2
03.05.24	Urartu Yerevan - Shirak Gyumri	0:0
Armenian Cup
09.04.24	Shirak Gyumri - Urartu Yerevan	1:2
Armenian Premier League
02.03.24	Shirak Gyumri - Urartu Yerevan	1:0

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