Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: National Arena Toshe Proeski (Skopje) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	21:00	Diema Sport 3
North Macedonia	20:00	MRT 2, MRT 3


	Shkendija Tetovo		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	2	Watch
	3.75	3.1	2.05
	3.7	2.92	2.18	Watch
	4.37	3.1	2.04
	3.24	3.53	2.14	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	4.33	3.01	2.07	Watch
	3.35	3.55	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.22)	3.18 ↓ (3.42)	2.06 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shkendija Tetovo
24.7%

Draw
29.7%

Ludogorets Razgrad
45.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.9%

27.2%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shkendija Tetovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkendija Tetovo than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	32.5%	57.5%

Shkendija Tetovo - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Shkendija will win (votes: 4 - 10%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 23 - 57.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 32.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 42.2% – 72.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Shkendija (votes: 3 - 20%). Ludogorets (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Ludogorets (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Shkendija (2.65) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Shkendija (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Shkendija (votes: 5 - 25%). Ludogorets (votes: 10 - 50%). Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Gaye B. (G) 2. Trumci A. 15. Fetai I. 5. Cake K. 11. Webster R. 4. Ramadani R. 6. Alhassan A. 29. Tamba F. 17. Zejnullai A. 77. Latifi L. 7. Ibraimi B. (C)	1. Padt S. (G) 17. Son 55. Nachmias I. 4. Almeida D. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 30. Pedro Naressi 23. Duarte D. 14. Stanic P. 77. Erick Marcus 29. Bile E. 8. Chouiar M.
Substitutes
22. Ajetovikj N. 25. Amzai A. (G) 18. Ceka N. 27. Kaba L. 10. Krasniqi E. 19. Krstevski V. 26. Meliqi A. 16. Murati M. 38. Nuhija A. 8. Ramadani F. 30. Ramani F. (G)	39. Bonmann H. (G) 11. Caio Vidal 18. Chochev I. 67. Hristov D. (G) 99. Ivanov S. 26. Kaloc F. 15. Kurtulus E. 10. Machado M. 42. Shishkov S. 37. Tekpetey B. 24. Verdon O. 82. Yordanov I.
Coaches
Bekjiri J.	Mota R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Duarte D. ⚽, Stanic P. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Latifi L. ⚽,
39', Zejnullai A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 1, Ibraimi B. ⚽, Latifi L. (A),
66', Chouiar M. ↓, Tekpetey B. ↑,
66', Stanic P. ↓, Kaloc F. ↑,
66', Duarte D. ↓, Chochev I. ↑,
72', Pedro Naressi 🟨,
72', Latifi L. ↓, Krstevski V. ↑,
72', Zejnullai A. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
72', Bile E. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
77', Webster R. 🟨,
81', Erick Marcus ↓, Ivanov S. ↑,
85', Ibraimi B. ↓, Ramadani F. ↑,
90+2', Tamba F. ↓, Murati M. ↑,
90+2', Alhassan A. ↓, Meliqi A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - National Arena Toshe Proeski.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ludogorets might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shkendija Tetovo
North Macedonian 1 MFL
16.08.25	Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Shkendija Tetovo	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Shkendija Tetovo	5:1 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
08.08.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Shkupi	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.08.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
30.07.25	FCSB - Shkendija Tetovo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 WLWLW
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.08.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.08.25	Slavia Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.08.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Ferencvárosi	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.08.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWTW

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