Match Info

1. MFL - Round 11

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Shkupi		Struga

	1	X	2
	11	5.5	1.19
	11.66	5.62	1.21	Watch
	9.75	5.45	1.23
	13	5.75	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.35 ↑ (4.99)	5.58 ↑ (4.03)	1.2 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shkupi
8%

Draw
16.3%

Struga
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

23.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23.2%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shkupi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shkupi's form might have worsened.

Struga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Struga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkupi than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shkupi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Struga than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Struga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shkupi - Struga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Struga (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Struga (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Struga will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Struga (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Grote M. (G) 21. Adili D. 2. Enuz V. 17. Hayvali M. 19. Kadri E. 11. Mehmed A. 10. Muharem S. (C) 18. Murati N. 89. Shuku E. 4. Spahiu R. 30. Stankovski M.	1. Angeletti M. (G) 33. Compaore B. 94. Diako L. 17. Fall P. 27. Hamza M. 45. Jevtoski S. 29. Maleski H. (C) 88. Mazoulouxis K. 6. Mici G. 7. Vosha A. 18. Zenku S.
Substitutes
27. Akiku E. 5. Bajrami A. 34. Destani A. 31. Meljachi A. (G) 14. Nazifi Z. 7. Ribeiro L. 23. Richkov A. 22. Richkov M. 33. Ristov M. 6. Sadiku L. 38. Ziberi A.	10. Bojku B. 5. Ilievski B. 9. Ivkovic D. 28. Nikoloski I. (G) 14. Radeski M. 2. Rochi A. 13. Rochi F. 11. Shabani B. 3. Tairi H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Compaore B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 🟨,
54', Diako L. 🟥,
56', 1 - 1, Muharem S. (Pen),
62', 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Compaore B. (Pen),
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shkupi won 3.

Shkupi is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Struga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Struga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Struga is the clear favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Shkupi won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shkupi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shkupi
North Macedonian 1 MFL
24.10.25	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Shkupi	4:1 ✺
04.10.25	Shkupi - Rabotnički	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Arsimi - Shkupi	4:2 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
24.09.25	Ohrid - Shkupi	3:0 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
20.09.25	Shkupi - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLL
- FC Struga
North Macedonian 1 MFL
25.10.25	Struga - AP Brera Strumica	2:4 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
21.10.25	Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Struga	0:5 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
05.10.25	Vardar - Struga	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Struga - Pelister	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Sileks - Struga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
31.03.25	Struga - Shkupi	0:0
03.12.24	Shkupi - Struga	3:1
22.09.24	Struga - Shkupi	0:3
18.05.24	Struga - Shkupi	1:2
24.02.24	Struga - Shkupi	2:2
01.10.23	Shkupi - Struga	2:0
14.05.23	Struga - Shkupi	2:1

Shkupi - Struga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide