Match Info

1. MFL - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Vardar		Struga

	1	X	2
	2.13	2.67	3.8
	1.98	3.25	3.72	Watch
	2.15	3.33	3.18
	2.4	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.4)	3.16 ↓ (3.4)	3.3 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vardar
42.7%

Draw
29.2%

Struga
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25.7%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vardar's performance.

Struga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Struga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Struga than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Struga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vardar - Struga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vardar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Taleski D. (G) 6. Babunski D. 88. Bosancic N. 32. Castaneda D. 11. Danev D. 4. Matic M. 47. Mato R. 5. Najdovski F. 9. Omeragikj A. (C) 75. Senghor F. 22. Todorovski D.	1. Angeletti M. (G) 10. Bojku B. 33. Compaore B. 94. Diako L. 17. Fall P. 27. Hamza M. 5. Ilievski B. 30. Maudo 6. Mici G. 14. Radeski M. 11. Shabani B. (C)
Substitutes
26. Cikarski M. 23. Duranski F. 21. Jankulov G. 25. Kjosevski V. (G) 3. Manevski M. 29. Olaosebikan I. 90. Ramathan M. 17. Spahiu E. 19. Talevski M. 8. Tchimbembe W. 10. Zakaric G.	15. Aliji A. 22. Demishoski T. 45. Jevtoski S. 77. Kocoski V. 29. Maleski H. 88. Mazoulouxis K. 28. Nikoloski I. (G) 13. Rochi F. 3. Tairi H. 7. Vosha A. 18. Zenku S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', (Pen),
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,
65', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vardar won 3.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vardar won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vardar won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
29.09.25	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Vardar	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Vardar - Rabotnički	3:1 ✺
18.09.25	Arsimi - Vardar	1:4 ✺
12.09.25	Vardar - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Shkupi - Vardar	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWWW
- FC Struga
North Macedonian 1 MFL
29.09.25	Struga - Pelister	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Sileks - Struga	1:3 ✺
17.09.25	Struga - Shkendija Tetovo	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Struga - Tikveš	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Struga	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian Cup
21.05.25	Vardar - Struga	2:0
North Macedonian 1 MFL
06.05.25	Vardar - Struga	0:0
22.02.25	Struga - Vardar	0:2
05.10.24	Vardar - Struga	1:4
07.04.24	Vardar - Struga	1:0
29.11.23	Vardar - Struga	1:3
01.11.23	Struga - Vardar	4:0

Vardar - Struga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide