Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Sholing		Winchester City

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.28	3.45	2.7
	2.37	3.62	2.67
	2.39	3.56	2.73
	2.27	3.42	2.66
	2.28	3.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.27)	3.47 ↑ (3)	2.69 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sholing
39.6%

Draw
26.4%

Winchester City
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

31.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sholing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sholing than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Winchester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sholing - Winchester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Hill I. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Sholing is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Winchester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Winchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sholing will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sholing won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sholing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sholing
English Southern League South Division
16.11.24	Walton & Hersham - Sholing	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Sholing - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Sholing - Frome Town	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Chertsey Town - Sholing	4:0 ✺
19.10.24	Tiverton Town - Sholing	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTLT
- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
23.11.24	Winchester City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Winchester City - Sittingbourne	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
09.11.24	Frome Town - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Hanwell Town - Winchester City	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Tavistock - Winchester City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
13.01.24	Sholing - Winchester City	5:1
12.08.23	Winchester City - Sholing	1:3

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