Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 14

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Hanwell Town		Winchester City

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.5	3.1
	1.96	3.55	3.25
	1.94	3.86	3.21
	1.94	3.73	3.28
	1.95	3.58	3.26
	1.96	3.55	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.96)	3.63 ↑ (3.54)	3.23 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanwell Town
46.7%

Draw
25.1%

Winchester City
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

25.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

26.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanwell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Hanwell Town - Winchester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Griggs O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+10', 1 - 1, Edwards J. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hanwell Town will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hanwell Town won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 2.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Hanwell Town won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 2.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanwell Town
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Hanwell Town - Hendon	5:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
23.10.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Hanwell Town	5:2 ✺
19.10.24	Dorchester Town - Hanwell Town	0:3 ✺
15.10.24	Hanwell Town - Basingstoke Town	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Totton - Hanwell Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWLL
- Winchester City
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Tavistock - Winchester City	0:4 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.10.24	Winchester City - Gloucester City	2:4 ✺
19.10.24	Winchester City - Walton & Hersham	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Swindon Supermarine - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Winchester City - Hungerford Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
17.02.24	Winchester City - Hanwell Town	1:1
14.10.23	Hanwell Town - Winchester City	4:4
15.04.23	Winchester City - Hanwell Town	0:3
12.11.22	Hanwell Town - Winchester City	1:2

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