Match Info

NPFL - Round 18

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Lekan Salami Stadium (Ibadan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Shooting Stars		Niger Tornadoes

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.21	7.17	Watch
	1.57	3.3	5.75
	1.58	3.28	6.12
	1.54	3.25	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.7)	3.51 ↑ (2.87)	6.18 ↓ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shooting Stars
59.5%

Draw
25.8%

Niger Tornadoes
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

32.1%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

31.3%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shooting Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shooting Stars's performance.

Niger Tornadoes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shooting Stars than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niger Tornadoes than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Shooting Stars - Niger Tornadoes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Godgift E. (G) 23. Adelowo G. (C) 20. Al Ameen A. 29. Amusat J. 28. Apaingolo J. 10. Ayobami A. 19. Ayodele I. 24. Azeez T. 27. Ibrahim S. 7. Mustapha A. 31. Tijjani K.	1. Nchekwube I. (G) 13. Ahmadu L. 5. Akinmoladun S. (C) 33. Azeez A. 20. Dalhatu A. 2. Etim M. 34. Ezeifule C. 15. Family A. 16. Godstime J. 10. Jephta C. 22. Oloye F.
Substitutes
18. Abayomi A. 12. Adegoke Q. 34. Adeiza O. (G) 11. Akpan J. 13. Amos S. 30. Awosanmi P. 4. Ojietefian D. 15. Onyemaechi A. 17. Utin I.	36. Abubakar H. 7. Dabai A. 8. Ebong K. 21. Isaac J. (G) 18. Khalid A. 40. Mendos R. 29. Musa A. 14. Okoye I. 25. Wisdom D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Mustapha A. ↓, Awosanmi P. ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Adelowo G. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 2 - 0, ⚽,
75', 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shooting Stars won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Niger Tornadoes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shooting Stars is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Shooting Stars won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Shooting Stars won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 2.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shooting Stars
Nigerian Premier League
08.12.25	Nasarawa United - Shooting Stars	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Shooting Stars - Remo Stars	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Shooting Stars - El-Kanemi Warriors	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Kwara United - Shooting Stars	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Shooting Stars - Katsina United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWTT
- Niger Tornadoes
Nigerian Premier League
14.12.25	Niger Tornadoes - El-Kanemi Warriors	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kwara United - Niger Tornadoes	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Niger Tornadoes - Remo Stars	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Niger Tornadoes - Katsina United	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Wikki Tourists - Niger Tornadoes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
23.03.25	Shooting Stars - Niger Tornadoes	3:1
03.11.24	Niger Tornadoes - Shooting Stars	2:0
25.03.24	Niger Tornadoes - Shooting Stars	2:1
05.11.23	Shooting Stars - Niger Tornadoes	4:1
08.05.22	Shooting Stars - Niger Tornadoes	1:0
19.01.22	Niger Tornadoes - Shooting Stars	2:0
09.09.17	Niger Tornadoes - Shooting Stars	2:0

Shooting Stars - Niger Tornadoes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide