Match Info

Super League - Round 6

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Guzar (Guzar)

Referee: Suyunov T. (Uzb)


	Shurtan Guzar		Mashal Mubarek

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	2.95
	2.34	2.9	3
	2.46	2.94	3.17
	2.41	2.89	3.07	Watch
	2.44	2.96	3.11
	2.34	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.31)	2.92 ↓ (3.15)	3.05 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shurtan Guzar
38.6%

Draw
31.4%

Mashal Mubarek
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

27.9%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Mashal Mubarek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mashal Mubarek than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Shurtan Guzar - Mashal Mubarek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 15. Mannonov J. 4. Khudoyberdiev U. (C) 3. Sultonmurodov S. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 77. Saidkhonov A. 33. Rahmatov B. 8. Nuriddinov S. 24. Narzullaev D. 11. Sharipov D. 10. Mamasidikov T.	1. Khamroev U. (G) 37. Fayziev S. 5. Ochilov S. 15. Alikulov M. 28. Ismoilov E. 2. Salifu M. 6. Abdualimov J. 24. Mamatkhodzhaev A. 9. Ganikhonov I. 10. Murtazoev K. (C) 96. Numonov I.
Substitutes
35. Abduraimov S. (G) 47. Anvarov A. 21. Jabborov M. 70. Jumaev M. 17. Khasanov J. 19. Khasanov N. 22. Sadulloev S. 99. Saidazimov K. 14. Toshkuziev A.	8. Abduraimov S. 7. Baratov I. 34. Juraev S. 17. Murodov A. 22. Muzaffarov N. 30. Norbekov S. 18. Rakhmatullaev D. 19. Sharipov I. 12. Tukhtaboev D. (G)
Coaches
Berdiev A.	Alikulov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Khudoyberdiev U. 🟨,
21', Pirmukhamedov A. 🟨,
45+5', Fayziev S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Salifu M. ↓, Abduraimov S. ↑,
53', Nuriddinov S. 🟨,
55', Abduraimov S. ↓, Baratov I. ↑,
72', Fayziev S. ↓, Muzaffarov N. ↑,
75', Mannonov J. ↓, Sadulloev S. ↑,
75', Narzullaev D. ↓, Jabborov M. ↑,
75', Nuriddinov S. ↓, Khasanov N. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Abduraimov S. ⚽,
89', Jabborov M. 🟨,
90+3', Jabborov M. 🟥,
90+5', Murtazoev K. ↓, Murodov A. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shurtan won 0.

Shurtan has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mashal is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Shurtan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:18 (average 0.9:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Shurtan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shurtan Guzar
Uzbek League
11.04.25	Navbahor Namangan - Shurtan Guzar	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Shurtan Guzar - Nasaf Qarshi	1:4 ✺
27.03.25	Kokand 1912 - Shurtan Guzar	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Shurtan Guzar - Bunyodkor	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Xorazm Urganch - Shurtan Guzar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL
- Mashal Mubarek
Uzbek League
11.04.25	Mashal Mubarek - Neftchi Fargona	1:4 ✺
06.04.25	Andijan - Mashal Mubarek	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek	5:0 ✺
29.03.25	Mashal Mubarek - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Mashal Mubarek	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek Pro Liga
29.10.24	Shurtan Guzar - Mashal Mubarek	0:1
28.08.24	Mashal Mubarek - Shurtan Guzar	3:1
03.04.24	Mashal Mubarek - Shurtan Guzar	2:0
Uzbek Cup
26.06.19	Shurtan Guzar - Mashal Mubarek	3:5
Uzbek League
19.08.17	Mashal Mubarek - Shurtan Guzar	4:0
18.03.17	Shurtan Guzar - Mashal Mubarek	0:2
25.10.15	Shurtan Guzar - Mashal Mubarek	1:0

Shurtan Guzar - Mashal Mubarek: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide