Match Info

Super League - Round 5

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: OKMK Sport Majmuasi (Olmaliq)

Referee: Ismoilov I. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tajikistan	Futbol TV


	Mashal Mubarek		Neftchi Fargona

	1	X	2
	4.9	3.35	1.67
				Watch
	4.76	3.51	1.7
	4.9	3.35	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↓ (4.97)	3.4 ↓ (3.8)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mashal Mubarek
18.8%

Draw
26.8%

Neftchi Fargona
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.6%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mashal Mubarek have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Mashal Mubarek - Neftchi Fargona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Tukhtaboev D. (G) 20. Ismoilov E. 15. Alikulov M. 37. Fayziev S. 24. Mamatkhodzhaev A. 9. Ganikhonov I. 6. Abdualimov J. 8. Abduraimov S. 2. Salifu M. 17. Murodov A. 30. Norbekov S.	14. Boltaboev J. 23. Djokic J. 1. Ergashev B. 20. Gofurov A. 10. Iskanderov J. 7. Ismoilov A. 32. Marusic Z. 34. Sayfiev F. 77. Toshmirzaev B. 21. Ubaydullaev M. 6. Yuldoshev I.
Substitutes
7. Baratov I. 34. Juraev S. 1. Khamroev U. (G) 10. Murtazoev K. 22. Muzaffarov N. 96. Numonov I. 5. Ochilov S. 18. Rakhmatullaev D. 19. Sharipov I.	44. Adahamjonov M. 5. Alibaev I. 4. Ciger B. 17. Giyosov M. 24. Gulyamov G. 11. Ruziev K. 25. Suyunov E. (G) 22. Tabatadze T. 33. Yoqubjonov S.
Coaches
Alikulov A.	Levchenko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Toshmirzaev B. ⚽, Yuldoshev I. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Iskanderov J. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Abduraimov S. ⚽,
45+4', Mamatkhodzhaev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Tukhtaboev D. ↓, Khamroev U. ↑,
46', Murodov A. ↓, Numonov I. ↑,
52', Salifu M. 🟨,
54', Norbekov S. ↓, Murtazoev K. ↑,
58', 1 - 3, Djokic J. ⚽, Iskanderov J. (A),
62', Ganikhonov I. ↓, Baratov I. ↑,
67', Marusic Z. ↓, Tabatadze T. ↑,
68', Boltaboev J. 🟨,
76', Salifu M. ↓, Sharipov I. ↑,
80', Numonov I. 🟨,
82', Ismoilov A. ↓, Ruziev K. ↑,
82', Iskanderov J. ↓, Giyosov M. ↑,
90', 1 - 4, Gofurov A. ⚽,
90+2', Djokic J. ↓, Gulyamov G. ↑,
90+3', Boltaboev J. ↓, Alibaev I. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 7).

Mashal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Neftchi Fargona is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mashal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Mashal won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mashal Mubarek
Uzbek League
06.04.25	Andijan - Mashal Mubarek	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek	5:0 ✺
29.03.25	Mashal Mubarek - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Mashal Mubarek	1:0 ✺
Uzbek Pro Liga
21.11.24	Xorazm Urganch - Mashal Mubarek	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLT
- Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League
05.04.25	Neftchi Fargona - Navbahor Namangan	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Neftchi Fargona - Kokand 1912	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Bunyodkor - Neftchi Fargona	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.02.25	Rubin Kazan - Neftchi Fargona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
19.11.17	Neftchi Fargona - Mashal Mubarek	2:1
19.06.17	Mashal Mubarek - Neftchi Fargona	2:2
09.09.16	Neftchi Fargona - Mashal Mubarek	1:2
18.04.15	Neftchi Fargona - Mashal Mubarek	1:0
12.09.14	Mashal Mubarek - Neftchi Fargona	1:0

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