Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		Hutnik

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.55	1.48
	5	4.4	1.44
	4.19	3.74	1.74	Watch
	5.24	4.54	1.52	Watch
	5.33	4.33	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↓ (5.2)	4.31 ↓ (4.6)	1.53 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
18.3%

Draw
21.4%

Hutnik
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

19.3%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

18.6%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Hutnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hutnik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Hutnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Zoch H. (G) 21. Bis B. 7. Matuszewski T. 98. Misztal K. (C) 9. Mroz P. 88. Nechyporenko S. 16. Planeta T. . Ratelt B. 19. Slowik F. 13. Waclawek B. 2. Wyparlo M.	31. Zagrodnik J. (G) 14. Bracik K. 5. Burka D. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 8. Jopek S. 76. Kielis P. 77. Prusinski K. 19. Rzepka K. 24. Semik K. 10. Sowinski M. 6. Urbanczyk M.
Substitutes
. Kardys K. . Kosior P. . Marszalik K. . Raciniewski J. (G) . Szkiela M. . Zawol B.	. Galek I. 13. Gandziarowski M. . Guerrier W. . Holuj F. 12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) . Ikwuka A. . Motrycz A. 9. Sliwa D. . Szablowski K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Waclawek B. ↓, Kardys K. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, (Own goal),
64', 🟨,
72', Nechyporenko S. ↓, Szkiela M. ↑,
72', Slowik F. ↓, Marszalik K. ↑,
84', Mroz P. ↓, Zawol B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hutnik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hutnik is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home match between the teams, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Star Starachowice	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLT
- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
20.09.25	Hutnik - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
17.09.25	Hutnik - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0 ✺
12.09.25	Unia Skierniewice - Hutnik	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Hutnik	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Hutnik - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.07.23	Hutnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:1
Polish Division 2
04.03.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Hutnik	1:1
07.08.22	Hutnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	6:0
Club Friendly
11.07.20	Hutnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:2
28.02.20	Hutnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.09.19	Hutnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1

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