Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 4

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		JKS Jarosław

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.50	2.95
	1.83	3.60	3.35
	2.11	3.75	2.81
	2.12	3.85	2.76
	2.08	3.70	2.65
	2.21	3.59	2.87	Watch
	2.3	3.41	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.3)	3.63 ↑ (3.41)	2.84 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
43.2%

Draw
24.9%

JKS Jarosław
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

JKS Jarosław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JKS Jarosław than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - JKS Jarosław Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Maj A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
77', 1 - 1, Podstolak M. ⚽,
82', (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', 1 - 2, Wrona K. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, Pilch O. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Siarka Tarnobrzeg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

JKS Jarosław is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Jaroslaw	11	5	2	4	27:20	7	17
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	11	4	2	5	14:15	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
15.08.26	Busko-Zdrój - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Czarni Połaniec	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Hetman Zamość - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Busko-Zdrój	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTTW
- JKS 1909 Jarosław
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
15.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Wieczysta II	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Wisłoka Dębica - JKS Jarosław	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	JKS Jarosław - Moravia Morawica	3:2 ✺
23.07.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - JKS Jarosław	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTWL

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