Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		Polkowice

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.18	3.1	2.9
	2.19	3.3	2.85
	2.24	3.36	3.12
	2.15	3.2	2.88
	2.16	3.4	2.92	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.86)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	2.9 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
41.3%

Draw
27.5%

Polkowice
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

29%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Siarka Tarnobrzeg's performance.

Polkowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polkowice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Siarka Tarnobrzeg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polkowice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Polkowice Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Siarka Tarnobrzeg will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Polkowice will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Siarka Tarnobrzeg: 73.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Polkowice is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 2
17.09.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2 ✺
10.09.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	Polonia Warsaw - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:1 ✺
27.08.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:3 ✺
20.08.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLLL
- KS Polkowice
Polish Division 2
17.09.22	Polkowice - Hutnik	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Wisła Puławy - Polkowice	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Polkowice - Lech Poznań 2	3:3 ✺
Polish Cup
31.08.22	Polkowice - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:3 ET ✺
Polish Division 2
28.08.22	Znicz Pruszków - Polkowice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTTLL

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