Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Leimbachstadion (Siegen)


	Siegen		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.55	2.18
	2.40	3.83	2.45	Watch
	2.86	3.46	2.16
	2.9	3.66	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.4)	3.63 ↓ (3.83)	2.24 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siegen
33.5%

Draw
25.4%

Fortuna Köln
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

24%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

23.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Fortuna Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siegen than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Siegen - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Tokac O. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Al Ghaddioui H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 1 - 2, Bornemann T. ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, Santo J. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

Siegen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fortuna Köln is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Siegen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:15. (average 0.5:3.8).

Including home match between the teams, Siegen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Fortuna Köln - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.59%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Siegen
German Regionalliga West
09.11.25	Bonner - Siegen	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Siegen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Gütersloh - Siegen	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Siegen - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Siegen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWLLT
- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
09.11.25	Fortuna Köln - Paderborn II	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Wiedenbrück - Fortuna Köln	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Fortuna Köln - Köln II	3:2 ✺
17.10.25	Schalke 04 II - Fortuna Köln	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Fortuna Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.01.24	Fortuna Köln - Siegen	9:1
German Regionalliga West
25.04.14	Fortuna Köln - Siegen	1:0
02.11.13	Siegen - Fortuna Köln	0:1
16.04.13	Fortuna Köln - Siegen	4:1

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