Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA WESTFALEN - ROUND 15

Date: 25 November 2022, Friday

Location: Leimbachstadion (Siegen)


	Siegen		TuS Erndtebrück

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	3.5
	1.7	4	3.35
	1.73	3.9	3.4
	1.79	4.31	3.49
	1.78	3.5	3.5
	1.8	3.94	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.9)	3.93 ↓ (4.15)	3.45 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siegen
51.1%

Draw
22.9%

TuS Erndtebrück
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

21.6%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

20.4%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

TuS Erndtebrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TuS Erndtebrück might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siegen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TuS Erndtebrück than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Siegen - TuS Erndtebrück Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Siegen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Erndtebrück will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Siegen won 2.

Recent matches Siegen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Erndtebrück is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Erndtebrück could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Siegen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Siegen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Siegen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Siegen
German Oberliga Westfalen
13.11.22	Victoria Clarholz - Siegen	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Siegen - Delbrücker	4:2 ✺
30.10.22	TSG Sprockhövel - Siegen	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Siegen - Paderborn II	0:2 ✺
15.10.22	Ennepetal - Siegen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTLW
- TuS Erndtebrück
German Oberliga Westfalen
19.11.22	TuS Erndtebrück - Gütersloh	2:4 ✺
13.11.22	TuS Erndtebrück - Vreden	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Bövinghausen - TuS Erndtebrück	4:1 ✺
30.10.22	Victoria Clarholz - TuS Erndtebrück	4:0 ✺
23.10.22	TuS Erndtebrück - Delbrücker	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
18.04.22	Siegen - TuS Erndtebrück	1:0
05.09.21	TuS Erndtebrück - Siegen	3:3
06.09.20	TuS Erndtebrück - Siegen	0:1
27.10.19	TuS Erndtebrück - Siegen	2:1
14.12.18	TuS Erndtebrück - Siegen	2:1
12.08.18	Siegen - TuS Erndtebrück	3:2

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