The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Siello 16.5%
Draw 23.7%
Móstoles URJC 59.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
16%
23.2%
60.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.6%
22.6%
62.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Siello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siello than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Siello - Móstoles URJC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
58', 0 - 3, ⚽,
60', 1 - 3, ⚽,
87', 1 - 4, ⚽,
90', 1 - 5, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 6, ⚽,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 2nd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Playoffs).
Siello is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Móstoles shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Móstoles carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Siello has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:10 (averaging 1.5:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Siello against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.5:2.5 per game).
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