Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Siello		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.45	1.6
	1.82	3.39	4.24	Watch
	5.5	3.4	1.57
	5.85	3.46	1.56
	5.33	3.6	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (3.89)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	2.11 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siello
21.8%

Draw
29.6%

Móstoles URJC
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

28.5%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

28.3%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siello than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Móstoles URJC aligns with the current prediction.

Siello - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Pacheco E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 1 - 1, Sanchez V. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Sanchez V. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

Siello has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Móstoles is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Móstoles is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Siello won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Siello won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	CD Mostoles	5	3	2	0	6:2	4	11
17	Siello	5	1	0	4	5:13	-8	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siello FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.12.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Siello	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Siello - Racing Madrid	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Las Rozas - Siello	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Siello - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Siello	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LTLWW
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.12.25	Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Leganés B - Móstoles URJC	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Torrejón - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Móstoles URJC - Parla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.02.24	Móstoles URJC - Siello	2:0
24.09.23	Siello - Móstoles URJC	0:3

Siello - Móstoles URJC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide