Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Siello		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.25
	1.57	4.09	5.03	Watch
	2.98	3.38	2.29
	2.88	3.3	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.88)	3.44 ↑ (3.3)	2.95 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siello
37.9%

Draw
28.7%

Unión Adarve
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27.6%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

26.6%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Siello's performance.

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Adarve might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siello than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Adarve could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Siello - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Alonso V. ⚽,
45+2', Martin J. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
72', 🟥,
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).

Siello is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Unión Adarve has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siello won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Adarve - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.71%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siello FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.11.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Siello	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Siello - Atlético Madrid C	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Galapagar - Siello	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Siello	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Siello - Leganés B	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLLL
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.11.25	Unión Adarve - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Leganés B - Unión Adarve	5:0 ✺
02.11.25	Unión Adarve - Trival Valderas	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Torrejón - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Unión Adarve - Parla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.01.21	Unión Adarve - Siello	2:1

Siello - Unión Adarve: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide