Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Silva SD		Gran Peña

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.92	2.35
	2.69	3.19	2.5
	2.77	3.23	2.43	Watch
	2.85	3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.63)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	2.42 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Silva SD
32.6%

Draw
29.6%

Gran Peña
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

28.1%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Silva SD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Silva SD than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Gran Peña aligns with the current prediction.

Silva SD - Gran Peña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 🟥,
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Recent form of Silva SD has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gran Peña is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Silva SD won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Silva SD won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Silva SD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Silva SD - Viveiro	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Céltiga - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Silva SD - Juventud Cambados	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Boiro - Silva SD	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Silva SD - Barco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW
- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Gran Peña - Céltiga	2:4 ✺
02.11.25	Juventud Cambados - Gran Peña	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Gran Peña - Boiro	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Barco - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Gran Peña - Compostela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.02.25	Gran Peña - Silva SD	0:3
28.09.24	Silva SD - Gran Peña	0:0
14.01.24	Gran Peña - Silva SD	3:2
23.04.23	Silva SD - Gran Peña	3:1
08.01.23	Gran Peña - Silva SD	6:0

Silva SD - Gran Peña: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide