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Current Win Probability
Simba 35.5%
Draw 30.6%
Al Ahly Cairo 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
29.3%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
31.2%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simba's performance.
Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Ahly Cairo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simba than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Simba that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ahly Cairo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
57.1%
0%
Simba - Al Ahly Cairo Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Simba will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Lakred A. (G) 12. Kapombe S. 29. Inonga H. 20. Malone Junior C. 15. Mohamed H. (C) 33. Sarr B. 8. Kanoute S. 38. Kibu D. 6. Ngoma F. 17. Chama C. 10. Ntibazonkiza S.
31. Oufa Shobeir (G) 24. Abdelmonem M. 21. Maaloul A. 36. Ahmed Kouka 30. Hany M. 13. Ateya M. 5. Rabia R. (C) 14. El Shahat H. 17. El Solia A. 27. Modeste A. 10. Tau P.
Substitutes
2. Jobe P. O. 1. Juma A. (G) 3. Kameta D. 26. Kennedy J. 18. Koubalan F. M. 11. Miquissone L. 5. Mwenda I. P. 7. Onana E. 19. Yassin M.
19. Afsha 11. Ahmed Abdelkader 33. El Debes K. 16. Hamza Alaa (G) 7. Kahraba 4. Mahmoud Metwaly 29. Mohamed T. 12. Slim R. 8. Tawfik A.
Coaches
Benchikha A.
Koller M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Ahmed Kouka ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kanoute S. ↓, Onana E. ↑,
50', Sarr B. 🟨,
53', Ateya M. 🟨,
57', Inonga H. 🟨,
62', 🟨,
67', El Shahat H. ↓, Slim R. ↑,
67', Tau P. ↓, Mohamed T. ↑,
73', Modeste A. ↓, Kahraba ↑,
73', Ateya M. ↓, Afsha ↑,
79', Sarr B. ↓, Yassin M. ↑,
79', Ntibazonkiza S. ↓, Jobe P. O. ↑,
88', Kapombe S. ↓, Mwenda I. P. ↑,
88', Kibu D. ↓, Miquissone L. ↑,
Preview
1st leg.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Simba won 2.
Now both teams are in good shape.
Al Ahly Cairo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Simba have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Simba won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Simba won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.