Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Simba		Wydad Casablanca

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.45	2.87	2.2
	2.75	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.86	2.99	2.53
	2.62	3.3	2.25
	2.75	3.28	2.42	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.49)	3.18 ↑ (2.94)	2.38 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simba
33.6%

Draw
28.4%

Wydad Casablanca
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

31.4%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

31.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Wydad Casablanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wydad Casablanca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wydad Casablanca than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wydad Casablanca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Simba - Wydad Casablanca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Simba will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Wydad Casablanca will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Lakred A. (G) 12. Kapombe S. 20. Malone Junior C. 29. Baka H. I. 15. Mohamed H. 38. Kibu D. 6. Ngoma F. 19. Yassin M. 17. Chama C. 4. Baleke Othos J. 7. Onana E.	32. El Motie Y. (G) 3. Serrhat A. 16. Harkass J. 4. Aboulfath A. 22. El Amloud A. 13. Abdallah H. 17. Draoui Z. 14. Attiyat Allah Y. 19. Lahtimi M. 27. Sambou B. J. 30. Bouhrati S.
Substitutes
22. Bocco J. 27. Idd Chilunda S. 1. Juma A. (G) 3. Kameta D. 26. Kennedy J. 11. Miquissone L. 5. Mwenda I. P. 16. Rashid Bakari H. 13. Riziki A.	24. Ahannach S. 26. Ait Brayem H. 20. Chetti I. 21. El Bahri C. 7. El Moutaraji Z. 1. Maftah M. (G) 2. Mahrous O. 11. Ounajem M. 35. Zola A.
Coaches
Benchikha A.	Ramzi A.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Simba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Simba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Simba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
15.12.23	Simba - Kagera Sugar	3:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
09.12.23	Wydad Casablanca - Simba	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Jwaneng Galaxy - Simba	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Simba - ASEC Mimosas	1:1 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
09.11.23	Simba - Namungo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLTTT
- Wydad Casablanca
Moroccan Botola
12.12.23	Union de Touarga - Wydad Casablanca	0:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
09.12.23	Wydad Casablanca - Simba	1:0 ✺
Moroccan Botola
06.12.23	Wydad Casablanca - Mouloudia Club dOujda	3:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
02.12.23	ASEC Mimosas - Wydad Casablanca	1:0 ✺
Moroccan Botola
28.11.23	FAR Rabat - Wydad Casablanca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
09.12.23	Wydad Casablanca - Simba	1:0
28.04.23	Wydad Casablanca - Simba	2:0 penalties
22.04.23	Simba - Wydad Casablanca	1:0

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