Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 30

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium (Dar es Salaam)


	Simba		Kagera Sugar

	1	X	2
	1.12	7.75	15
	1.05	10.19	23.62
				Watch
	1.04	9.5	22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.1)	9.15 ↑ (7.32)	20.21 ↑ (15.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simba
85.5%

Draw
10%

Kagera Sugar
4.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.9%

12.3%

5.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Kagera Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Simba - Kagera Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Mukwala S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Simba is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Qualification )

Kagera Sugar is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Simba won 3.

Simba is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Simba is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Simba won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:5. (average 1.9:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Simba won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
28.05.25	Simba - Singida Black Stars	1:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
25.05.25	Simba - Berkane	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Berkane - Simba	2:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
11.05.25	Kinondoni MC - Simba	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Simba - Pamba	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLWW
- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
12.05.25	Kagera Sugar - Mashujaa	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Kagera Sugar - Azam	2:4 ✺
09.04.25	Dodoma Jiji - Kagera Sugar	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Prisons - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
03.04.25	Kagera Sugar - Coastal Union	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
21.12.24	Kagera Sugar - Simba	2:5
12.05.24	Kagera Sugar - Simba	1:1
15.12.23	Simba - Kagera Sugar	3:0
21.12.22	Kagera Sugar - Simba	1:1
20.08.22	Simba - Kagera Sugar	2:0
11.05.22	Simba - Kagera Sugar	2:0
26.01.22	Kagera Sugar - Simba	1:0

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