Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sinalunghese		Montespaccato

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.45
	2.34	3	2.85
	2.32	3.05	2.96
	2.62	3	2.5
	2.38	3.2	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.7)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	2.72 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sinalunghese
36.9%

Draw
29.8%

Montespaccato
33.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

28.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

22.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sinalunghese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sinalunghese than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sinalunghese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montespaccato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sinalunghese - Montespaccato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D to Group A and 11).

Recent matches Sinalunghese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montespaccato is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montespaccato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sinalunghese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Sinalunghese
Italian Serie D - Group E
01.04.21	Lornano Badesse - Sinalunghese	1:2 ✺
28.03.21	Sinalunghese - Grassina	2:3 ✺
21.03.21	Cannara - Sinalunghese	1:1 ✺
14.03.21	Sinalunghese - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Sinalunghese - Tiferno Lerchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLTTL
- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.04.21	Montespaccato - Lornano Badesse	3:1 ✺
28.03.21	Foligno - Montespaccato	0:2 ✺
21.03.21	Montespaccato - Pianese	1:1 ✺
10.03.21	Montespaccato - Grassina	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Montevarchi - Montespaccato	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
20.12.20	Montespaccato - Sinalunghese	0:2

Sinalunghese - Montespaccato

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Sinalunghese - Montespaccato Predictions

Preview

Form

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