Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 16

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Sintrense		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.55
	2.63	2.85	2.55
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.77	2.84	2.69
	2.76	2.99	2.48
	2.6	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.12)	2.93 ↓ (3.3)	2.58 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sintrense
34.1%

Draw
30.9%

União de Santarém
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

29.1%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sintrense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sintrense's form might have worsened.

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União de Santarém's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sintrense than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sintrense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for União de Santarém, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 3).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sintrense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU Sintrense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	SB Castelo Branco - Sintrense	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Sintrense - Rio Maior	4:0 ✺
08.01.23	Sintrense - Marinhense	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	1 Dezembro - Sintrense	3:1 ✺
11.12.22	Sintrense - Mortágua	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWLL
- União de Santarém
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Arronches Benfica - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
15.01.23	União de Santarém - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	União de Santarém - Rio Maior	5:1 ✺
18.12.22	Marinhense - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	União de Santarém - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.10.22	União de Santarém - Sintrense	1:1
05.01.21	União de Santarém - Sintrense	4:1

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