Match Info

NB III - Southwest - Round 28

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Siofok		Érdi VSE

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.35	2.92
	2.08	3.47	2.92
	2.14	3.41	3.01	Watch
	2.1	3.1	2.9
	2.11	3.42	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.3)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	2.95 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siofok
42.7%

Draw
26.8%

Érdi VSE
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

25.8%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siofok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Érdi VSE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siofok than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Érdi VSE than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Siofok - Érdi VSE Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 0 - 2, ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).

Siofok is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Érdi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Érdi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Siofok has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siofok won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Siofok	9	4	2	3	16:11	5	14
11	Erdi	9	3	3	3	21:21	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFC Siofok
Hungarian NB III Southwest
03.05.26	Paks II - Siofok	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Siofok - Pénzügyőr	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ferencváros II - Siofok	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Pecsi - Siofok	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Majosi - Siofok	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.3 WWTLW
- Érdi VSE
Hungarian NB III Southwest
02.05.26	Érdi VSE - Balatonlelle	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Nagykanizsa - Érdi VSE	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Érdi VSE - Iváncsa	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	PTE-PEAC - Érdi VSE	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Érdi VSE - Dombóvári	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Southwest
26.10.25	Érdi VSE - Siofok	1:0

Siofok - Érdi VSE: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide