Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nicola De Simone (Siracusa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
World	Onefootball


	Siracusa		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.15
	3.56	3.26	2.1
	3.00	3.28	2.29	Watch
	3.24	3.18	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.41)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	2.16 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siracusa
28.5%

Draw
28.7%

Nuova Cosenza
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

27.4%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.7%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siracusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Cosenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Siracusa - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farroni A. (G) 2. Puzone M. 4. Sapola M. 5. Pacciardi F. 42. Iob S. 20. Gudelevicius E. 17. Candiano M. 7. Guadagni G. 24. Limonelli C. 19. Valente N. 14. Contini G.	22. Vettorel T. (G) 16. Ricciardi M. 26. Dametto P. 17. Caporale A. 11. D'Orazio T. 28. Kouan C. 77. Langella C. 10. Garritano L. 34. Florenzi A. 30. Mazzocchi S. 7. Cannavo K.
Substitutes
27. Ba R. 25. Bonacchi C. 12. Bonucci B. (G) 3. Cancellieri D. 11. Capanni L. 23. Catena E. M. 8. Damian F. 77. Di Paolo S. 13. Falla R. 28. Frisenna G. 6. Frosali J. 55. Krastev D. 30. Morreale M. 10. Parigini V. 33. Zanini M.	23. Achour S. 32. Antonio R. 29. Arioli A. 3. Barone A. 4. Begheldo G. 2. Cimino B. 5. Contiero L. 6. Dalle Mura C. 33. Ferrara A. 71. Mazzulla A. 99. Novello J. 1. Pompei T. (G) 21. Ragone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Mazzocchi S. ⚽,
28', Pacciardi F. 🟨,
45', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', D'Orazio T. ↓, Cimino B. ↑,
57', Ricciardi M. 🟨,
58', Florenzi A. ↓, Arioli A. ↑,
62', Gudelevicius E. ↓, Capanni L. ↑,
62', Guadagni G. ↓, Parigini V. ↑,
67', Puzone M. 🟨,
70', Cannavo K. ↓, Ferrara A. ↑,
70', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Achour S. ↑,
75', Contini G. ↓, Di Paolo S. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Siracusa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cosenza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cosenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cosenza is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Siracusa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Siracusa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.25	Siracusa - Potenza	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Crotone - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Siracusa - Benevento	0:3 ✺
07.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Siracusa	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Siracusa - Monopoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.25	Nuova Cosenza - Giugliano	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	Casertana - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Nuova Cosenza - Catania	4:1 ✺
07.09.25	Crotone - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
04.02.18	Nuova Cosenza - Siracusa	0:0
23.09.17	Siracusa - Nuova Cosenza	4:2
09.04.17	Nuova Cosenza - Siracusa	1:2
27.11.16	Siracusa - Nuova Cosenza	1:0

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