The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casertana 40.8%
Draw 31.2%
Nuova Cosenza 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
30.2%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
29.5%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casertana's performance.
Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuova Cosenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casertana that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Cosenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Casertana - Nuova Cosenza Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Casertana (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Casertana (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (G) 18. Oukhadda S. 33. Rocchi G. 13. Bacchetti L. 94. Liotti D. 25. Toscano M. 16. Pezzella S. 8. Proia F. (C) 9. Kallon Y. 91. Vano M. 20. Bentivegna A.
22. Vettorel T. (G) 2. Cimino B. 26. Dametto P. 17. Caporale A. 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 77. Langella C. 27. Garritano L. 28. Kouan C. 34. Florenzi A. 16. Ricciardi M. 30. Mazzocchi S.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 77. Capasso C. 90. Casarotto M. 21. Di Tommaso L. 3. Falasca M. 11. Galletta U. 6. Heinz J. 4. Kontek I. 10. Leone K. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 12. Merolla E. (G) 22. Vilardi A. (G)
23. Achour S. 32. Antonio R. 29. Arioli A. 3. Barone A. 7. Cannavo K. 6. Dalle Mura C. 99. Novello J. 1. Pompei T. (G) 21. Ragone D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Kallon Y. ⚽,
37', Bacchetti L. 🟨,
45+1', Garritano L. 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, Garritano L. ⚽,
69', Pezzella S. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
75', Bentivegna A. ↓, Llano Massa M. T. ↑,
75', Oukhadda S. ↓, Kontek I. ↑,
80', 🟨,
84', Bacchetti L. ↓, Falasca M. ↑,
84', Proia F. ↓, Di Tommaso L. ↑,
85', Florenzi A. ↓, Cannavo K. ↑,
87', Di Tommaso L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).