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Current Win Probability
Sirius 42.2%
Draw 26.9%
Elfsborg 30.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.3%
25.8%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
24.4%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sirius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sirius's form might have worsened.
Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sirius, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elfsborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
Sirius - Elfsborg Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Elfsborg (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Celic D. (G) 5. Castegren H. (C) 2. Soumah M. 4. Anker T. 22. Krusnell O. 10. Heier M. 6. Lindberg M. 7. Persson J. 24. Svensson V. 11. Bjerkebo I. 29. Andersson A.
31. Pettersson I. (G) 16. Jensen A. 6. Wikstrom R. 4. Isherwood T. 23. Hult N. (C) 19. Beck J. 18. Magnusson J. 29. Kamara M. 25. Sigurpalsson A. 10. Olsson S. 21. Ostman L.
Substitutes
25. Adindu O. 1. Diawara I. (G) 20. Ekstrom V. 17. Jonsson N. 16. Liimatta O. 21. Nilden C. 15. Sandberg S. 30. Vancsa Z. 18. Wikman A.
3. Esenga J. 17. Frick P. 15. Hedlund S. 8. Holmen S. 22. Krasniqi D. 5. Nordvall O. 12. Sander T. (G) 11. Silverholt T. 9. Zeneli A.
Coaches
Engelmark A.
Hamberg B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Beck J. ⚽, Sigurpalsson A. (A),
39', Sigurpalsson A. 🟨,
43', Svensson V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', Isherwood T. 🟨,
60', Svensson V. ↓, Wikman A. ↑,
62', Olsson S. ↓, Nordvall O. ↑,
62', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Zeneli A. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Persson J. ⚽, Lindberg M. (A),
74', 2 - 1, Persson J. ⚽, Lindberg M. (A),
78', Soumah M. 🟨,
83', Andersson A. ↓, Liimatta O. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Ostman L. ⚽, Hult N. (A),
90+1', Beck J. ↓, Hedlund S. ↑,
90+1', Kamara M. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 4.
Sirius has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Elfsborg have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Elfsborg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sirius has faced a series of away games on the road.
Sirius is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Elfsborg: Frick P.
(Inactive)
Hagg L.
(Inactive)
Rohden M.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Sirius: Liimatta O.
(Thigh Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sirius has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:34 (averaging 2:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sirius against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 24:15 goals (averaging 2.7:1.7 per game).
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Celic D. (G) 
Soumah M. 
Anker T. 
Magnusson J. 
Kamara M. 
Adindu O. 
Diawara I. (G) 
Liimatta O. 
Vancsa Z. 
Esenga J. 
Krasniqi D. 
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