The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hammarby 61%
Draw 21.1%
Sirius 17.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.3%
21.2%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
20.7%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
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X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 3.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Bookmakers give the edge to Hammarby for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hammarby has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:24 (averaging 2.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hammarby against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 25:12 goals (averaging 2.5:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Sirius
24
17
4
3
55:30
25
55
3
Hammarby
24
14
4
6
50:21
29
46
Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now
Sirius: 79.4% Hammarby: 7.1%
Last Results with these Odds
Hammarby - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.27%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.