Match Info

1. Lig - Round 5

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas)

Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Connect, TRT Spor
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sivasspor		Mardin 1969

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.10	3.30	Watch
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	2.17	3.10	3.00	Watch
	2.18	3.37	3.52
	2.28	3.34	3.01	Watch
	2.12	3.30	3.40
	2.14	3.23	3.44
	2.13	3.15	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.34)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	3.25 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
43%

Draw
28.6%

Mardin 1969
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Mardin 1969 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Sivasspor - Mardin 1969 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Mardin will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sivasspor: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakirbas G. (G) 4. Celik M. 2. Appindangoye A. 25. Ozdamar S. 58. Ciftci U. (C) 20. Mohammed M. 6. Fidan K. 89. Amilton 23. Celik C. 27. Ethemi V. 9. Manaj R.	1. Kardesler E. (G) 17. Korkmaz E. 64. Dogan B. 15. Gezer U. (C) 3. Yardimci N. 42. Alhassan B. 77. Taskan D. 91. Teklic T. 8. Denic D. 10. Dimitrov Z. 9. Kayode O.
Substitutes
66. Aksoy O. 8. Charisis C. 22. Erdogan O. 16. Erdursun A. (G) 19. Gokay E. 11. Kapacak B. 28. Kavrazli S. 77. Kefkir Y. 7. Paluli M. 99. Yilmaz C.	27. Alici K. 11. Balat B. 7. Cetin S. 70. Erol E. 16. Kabak A. 29. Kahveci O. (G) 4. Karslioglu O. 19. Uluk A. 47. Wilks M. 45. Yildirim O.
Coaches
Tasdemir I.	Cingoz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', Fidan K. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Teklic T. ⚽, Kayode O. (A),
37', Alhassan B. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Kayode O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Celik M. ↓, Kapacak B. ↑,
46', Celik C. ↓, Paluli M. ↑,
59', Fidan K. ↓, Charisis C. ↑,
59', Ethemi V. ↓, Yilmaz C. ↑,
60', Korkmaz E. 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Manaj R. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Mohammed M. 🟨,
71', 2 - 2, Manaj R. ⚽, Kapacak B. (A),
77', Taskan D. ↓, Wilks M. ↑,
77', Teklic T. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
86', Yilmaz C. ↓, Kavrazli S. ↑,
87', Denic D. ↓, Balat B. ↑,
90+2', Kayode O. ↓, Uluk A. ↑,
90+3', Kabak A. 🟨,

Preview

Sivasspor could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Kaya E. (Suspended) Yildirim F. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Mardin: Aydin A. (Knee Injury) Sengul M. (Red Card)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	9:5	4	12
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	9:11	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
29.08.26	Batman Petrolspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Sivasspor - Manisa FK	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Kayserispor - Sivasspor	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Sivasspor - Erokspor	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Bandırmaspor - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLTL
- Mardin 1969 SK
Turkish First League
29.08.26	Mardin 1969 - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Boluspor - Mardin 1969	0:3 ✺
16.08.26	Mardin 1969 - Antalyaspor	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.26	Eyüpspor - Mardin 1969	1:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Play Offs
09.05.26	Mardin 1969 - Muş Spor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWLW

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