Match Info

1. Lig - Round 38

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Bandirma 17 Eylül Stadyumu (Bandırma)

Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Bandırmaspor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.01	3.74	3.45
	2.09	3.72	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.9
	2.24	3.65	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.28)	3.6 ↑ (3.3)	3 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bandırmaspor
43.3%

Draw
25.8%

Sivasspor
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	2.5%	2.5%

Bandırmaspor - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 38 - 97.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bandırmaspor: 92.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bandırmaspor will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozcimen A. (G) 27. Alici K. 6. Ciftci H. 34. Aydin E. 53. Albayrak M. 92. Mulumba R. (C) 30. Acar E. 2. Ceylan O. 24. Amaral J. 29. Badji A. 7. Fall M.	1. Bakirbas G. (G) 7. Paluli M. 2. Appindangoye A. 20. Celik M. 58. Ciftci U. (C) 6. Yigiter O. 19. Gokay E. 8. Charisis C. 80. Celik C. 26. Yildirim M. 17. Kesgin K.
Substitutes
16. Alkan A. (G) 23. Burgaz G. 8. Cinemre E. 99. Douglas Tanque 88. Esendemir Y. 10. Gumuskaya M. 9. Kehinde T. 22. Midilic Y. 35. Zorluer Y. (G)	92. Ala S. 16. Erdursun A. (G) 50. Gulec E. 41. Sarman S. (G) 95. Selvili A.
Coaches
Gursel M.	Tasdemir I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Kesgin K. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Alici K. ⚽, Ciftci H. (A),
25', Yildirim M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Kesgin K. ↓, Selvili A. ↑,
64', Bakirbas G. ↓, Erdursun A. ↑,
64', Ozcimen A. ↓, Alkan A. ↑,
68', Mulumba R. 🟨,
70', Paluli M. ↓, Ala S. ↑,
73', Badji A. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
77', Ceylan O. ↓, Esendemir Y. ↑,
86', Celik C. ↓, Gulec E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).

Bandırmaspor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sivasspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Bandırmaspor is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T. (Inactive) Kalender T. (Eye injury) Nukan A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Sivasspor: Ethemi V. (Yellow Cards) Fidan K. (Yellow Cards) Manaj R. (Tendon Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bandırmaspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Bandırmaspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bandirmaspor	8	2	4	2	12:5	7	10
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	9:11	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
26.04.26	Erzurumspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Bandırmaspor - Amed SK	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Bodrumspor - Bandırmaspor	0:0 ✺
07.04.26	Bandırmaspor - Sarıyer	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Çorum - Bandırmaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.2 TWTTW
- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
26.04.26	Sivasspor - Igdirspor	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Çorum - Sivasspor	3:1 ✺
13.04.26	Sivasspor - İstanbulspor	1:3 ✺
09.04.26	Boluspor - Sivasspor	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sivasspor - Erokspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
27.12.25	Sivasspor - Bandırmaspor	2:0
Turkish Cup
09.02.22	Bandırmaspor - Sivasspor	2:4
Turkish First League
07.05.17	Sivasspor - Bandırmaspor	3:0

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