Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Skënderbeu Stadium (Korçë)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Klani IM, RTSH Sport
World	FIFA+


	Skënderbeu Korçë		Laçi

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.88	3.6
	2.15	3.1	4.18
	2.33	2.23	4.54	Watch
	2.06	2.68	4.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.79)	2.72 ↓ (3.23)	4.11 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skënderbeu Korçë
43.3%

Draw
34.1%

Laçi
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

31.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skënderbeu Korçë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skënderbeu Korçë's form might have worsened.

Laçi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skënderbeu Korçë, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laçi than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Skënderbeu Korçë - Laçi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 🟥,
90+6', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Skënderbeu is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore

Laçi is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skënderbeu won 2.

Skënderbeu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Laçi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Laçi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Skënderbeu is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Skënderbeu won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Skënderbeu won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skënderbeu Korçë
Albanian First Division
11.04.26	Burreli - Skënderbeu Korçë	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	AF Elbasani - Skënderbeu Korçë	1:1 ✺
Albanian First Division
22.03.26	Besa Kavajë - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Korabi Peshkopi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTWT
- KF Laçi
Albanian First Division
25.04.26	Laçi - Kukësi	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Laçi - Pogradeci	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Kastrioti - Laçi	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Laçi - Burreli	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Iliria - Laçi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
13.12.25	Laçi - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:1
26.09.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Laçi	1:0
Albanian Super League
06.04.25	Laçi - Skënderbeu Korçë	1:2
10.02.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Laçi	0:2
30.11.24	Laçi - Skënderbeu Korçë	1:0
21.09.24	Skënderbeu Korçë - Laçi	2:1
08.05.24	Skënderbeu Korçë - Laçi	1:1

Skënderbeu Korçë - Laçi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide