Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 30

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Södermalms IP (Skövde)

Referee: Dufva-Johansson A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, TV4 Play


	Skövde AIK		Örebro

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.2	1.7
	4.4	4	1.61
	4.7	4.29	1.62	Watch
	4.63	4.34	1.64
	4.41	4.2	1.67	Watch
	4.5	4	1.57
	4.59	4.15	1.65	Watch
	4.7	4.29	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (4.13)	4.18 ↑ (3.78)	1.64 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skövde AIK
20.6%

Draw
22.3%

Örebro
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

24.8%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

24.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skövde AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Örebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skövde AIK than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Skövde AIK - Örebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frojd M. (G) 4. Drinic F. 18. Tellgren E. 3. Schyberg F. (C) 20. Suljev A. 7. Skillermo E. 6. Abraham E. 24. Hellichius F. 11. Diagne M. 17. Moro M. 9. Ljubicic S.	1. Pahlsson M. (G) 3. Kack O. 4. McCue E. 15. Bergmark N. 11. Kroon S. 10. Backman V. 22. Shlimon L. 7. Barsoum E. 14. Shagaxle H. 17. Holmberg K. (C) 99. Yasin A.
Substitutes
8. Demirol A. 13. Engstrom H. 21. Mikhail M. 23. Ovsenek Z. 99. Shhab S. 15. Strom E. 30. Zendejas A. (G)	70. Andersson E. 6. Crona S. 24. Dukhan W. 12. Hansemon T. 13. Strindholm D. (G) 20. Swartling C. 27. Valgeirsson V.
Coaches
Abraham C.	Jardler C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Moro M. ⚽, Ljubicic S. (A),
23', Diagne M. 🟨,
27', Suljev A. 🟨,
32', Backman V. 🟨,
34', Ljubicic S. ↓, Engstrom H. ↑,
35', Tellgren E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Bergmark N. ↓, Hansemon T. ↑,
56', Hellichius F. 🟨,
61', Diagne M. ↓, Mikhail M. ↑,
61', Skillermo E. ↓, Shhab S. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Holmberg K. ⚽, Kroon S. (A),
72', 2 - 1, Drinic F. ⚽, Mikhail M. (A),
73', Shlimon L. 🟨,
76', 2 - 2, Drinic F. (Own goal),
81', Kack O. ↓, Dukhan W. ↑,
88', Holmberg K. (Pen),
90+1', Shagaxle H. ↓, Swartling C. ↑,
90+1', Shlimon L. ↓, Andersson E. ↑,
90+2', Suljev A. ↓, Strom E. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Skövde is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Örebro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Örebro is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Skövde won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Skövde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skövde AIK
Swedish Superettan
03.11.24	Öster - Skövde AIK	5:2 ✺
28.10.24	Oddevold - Skövde AIK	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Skövde AIK - Utsikten	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	Landskrona - Skövde AIK	4:1 ✺
28.09.24	Skövde AIK - Sundsvall	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTTLL
- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
03.11.24	Örebro - Helsingborg	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Örebro - Öster	0:1 ✺
22.10.24	Degerfors - Örebro	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Örebro - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
01.04.24	Örebro - Skövde AIK	0:1
17.09.23	Örebro - Skövde AIK	5:3
07.05.23	Skövde AIK - Örebro	1:2
23.08.22	Örebro - Skövde AIK	0:1
18.05.22	Skövde AIK - Örebro	0:0

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