Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 8

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Södermalms IP (Skövde)

Referee: Lindgren M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Skövde AIK		Östersund

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.2
	3	3.2	2.2
	3.2	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.31	3.4	2.23
	3.31	3.33	2.23
	2.9	3.3	2.15
	3.18	3.45	2.17	Watch
	3.2	3.15	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (3.02)	3.29 ↑ (3.12)	2.2 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skövde AIK
29.4%

Draw
28.3%

Östersund
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.7%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

29.9%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skövde AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Östersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skövde AIK than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Skövde AIK - Östersund Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Skövde will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Östersund will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Zendejas A. (G) 19. Sorman S. 3. Schyberg F. (C) 18. Tellgren E. 21. Mikhail M. 23. Ovsenek Z. 10. Abraham S. 6. Abraham E. 17. Moro M. 9. Ljubicic S. 13. Engstrom H.	30. Mills A. (G) 3. N’sa C. 23. Suljic A. 5. Jablinski K. 28. Adjoumani Y. 16. Sporrong A. 8. Erick Brendon 11. Musolitin M. 21. Kroon S. (C) 15. Hopcutt J. 9. Karlsson Grach S.
Substitutes
5. Broman G. 4. Drinic F. 1. Frojd M. (G) 22. Lindell E. 12. Pierre N. 7. Skillermo E. 20. Suljev A.	27. Ghanoum Z. 6. Hedenquist J. 1. Keita A. (G) 10. Marklund S. 20. Oluwayemi M. 14. Ordonez A. 29. Winbo A.
Coaches
Tufegdzic S.	Powell M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Abraham S. ↓, Skillermo E. ↑,
45+1', Adjoumani Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Jablinski K. 🟨,
61', Musolitin M. ↓, Hedenquist J. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Skillermo E. ⚽, Mikhail M. (A),
70', Engstrom H. ↓, Drinic F. ↑,
72', Zendejas A. 🟨,
76', Hopcutt J. ↓, Marklund S. ↑,
76', Erick Brendon ↓, Winbo A. ↑,
84', Kroon S. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
84', Mikhail M. ↓, Suljev A. ↑,
86', Moro M. ↓, Broman G. ↑,
90+4', Ljubicic S. 🟨,
90+4', Zendejas A. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Östersund will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Skövde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Skövde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skövde AIK
Swedish Superettan
12.05.24	Gefle - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Utsikten - Skövde AIK	4:1 ✺
30.04.24	Skövde AIK - Oddevold	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Skövde AIK - Trelleborg	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	Sundsvall - Skövde AIK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWL
- Östersunds FK
Swedish Superettan
12.05.24	Brage - Östersund	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Östersund - Örebro	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Helsingborg - Östersund	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Östersund - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Varbergs BoIS - Östersund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
23.09.23	Skövde AIK - Östersund	5:1
24.04.23	Östersund - Skövde AIK	2:1
14.08.22	Skövde AIK - Östersund	1:3

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