Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 7

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Gefle		Skövde AIK

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.3
	2	3.3	3.4
	2.1	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2	3.65	3.83
	2.11	3.43	3.52
	1.95	3.4	3.3
	2.11	3.41	3.31	Watch
	2.05	3.35	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.95)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	3.42 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
45.5%

Draw
27.2%

Skövde AIK
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26.8%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Skövde AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skövde AIK than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Gefle - Skövde AIK Predictions

Users Predictions: Gefle will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Johansson T. (G) 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 5. Hakansson N. 7. Edqvist A. 18. Capotondi C. 35. Adrian S. 44. Ranera I. 24. Rafael Y. 11. Englund L. 10. Yakoub A.	30. Zendejas A. (G) 18. Tellgren E. 23. Ovsenek Z. 5. Broman G. 19. Sorman S. 24. Hellichius F. 10. Abraham S. (C) 21. Mikhail M. 17. Moro M. 9. Ljubicic S. 20. Suljev A.
Substitutes
2. Adel I. 14. Friman S. P. 20. Hjelm A. 1. Jonsson O. (G) 23. Lattman A. 8. Lundin A. 16. Persson K.	6. Abraham E. 4. Drinic F. 13. Engstrom H. 1. Frojd M. (G) 22. Lindell E. 12. Pierre N. 26. Samuelsson L.
Coaches
Bengtsson M.	Tufegdzic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Hellichius F. ↓, Abraham E. ↑,
36', Tellgren E. 🟨,
38', Ranera I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Capotondi C. ⚽, Hakansson N. (A),
62', 2 - 0, Englund L. ⚽, Capotondi C. (A),
63', Hakansson N. ↓, Lundin A. ↑,
63', Adrian S. ↓, Persson K. ↑,
65', Suljev A. ↓, Engstrom H. ↑,
75', Ovsenek Z. ↓, Drinic F. ↑,
75', Ljubicic S. ↓, Samuelsson L. ↑,
76', Englund L. ↓, Friman S. P. ↑,
76', Rafael Y. ↓, Hjelm A. ↑,
86', Yakoub A. ↓, Lattman A. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gefle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gefle will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gefle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gefle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
04.05.24	Öster - Gefle	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Gefle - Sandviken	2:2 ✺
21.04.24	Oddevold - Gefle	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Gefle - Degerfors	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Utsikten - Gefle	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TTLTT
- Skövde AIK
Swedish Superettan
04.05.24	Utsikten - Skövde AIK	4:1 ✺
30.04.24	Skövde AIK - Oddevold	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Skövde AIK - Trelleborg	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	Sundsvall - Skövde AIK	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	Skövde AIK - Landskrona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
07.10.23	Skövde AIK - Gefle	3:1
14.05.23	Gefle - Skövde AIK	4:1

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