Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 22

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Södermalms IP (Skövde)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Skövde AIK		Trollhättan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.70	3.40	2.20
	2.38	3.40	2.45
	2.92	3.62	2.24
	2.69	3.81	2.29	Watch
	2.75	3.55	2.20
	2.82	3.86	2.19	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.38)	3.58 ↑ (3.45)	2.29 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skövde AIK
34.4%

Draw
25.5%

Trollhättan
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

25.9%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skövde AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Trollhättan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skövde AIK than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trollhättan than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Skövde AIK - Trollhättan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ibrahimovic A. (G) 26. Almen A. 4. Basic A. (C) 5. Forsgard H. 3. Johnson S. 18. Land L. 10. Nordstrom E. 8. Nygaard A. 7. Skillermo E. 16. Sodeliden A. 14. Svensson L.	25. Henriksson J. (G) 13. Berg M. 11. Burubwa D. 4. Fasth E. 17. Hermansson V. 6. Jensen W. (C) 15. Johansson V. 12. Lunden N. 8. Ocampo Hagglund O. 19. Sterner F. 5. Svensson N.
Substitutes
9. Agerborn M. 12. Linnarsson V. 13. Remmerfelt A. 19. Sorman S. 6. Strom E. 30. Torstensson G. (G) 15. Yoro E.	22. Abdirsak H. 16. Banous S. 18. Ernhede A. 3. Gashi A. 20. Henriksson W. 1. Ibrahimovic A. (G) 14. Sernling T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Lunden N. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Nygaard A. ⚽,
33', Fasth E. 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Johansson V. ⚽,
43', Forsgard H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Basic A. ↓, Strom E. ↑,
64', Land L. ↓, Remmerfelt A. ↑,
71', Berg M. ↓, Henriksson W. ↑,
73', Skillermo E. ↓, Sorman S. ↑,
77', Nordstrom E. 🟨,
83', Nordstrom E. ↓, Agerborn M. ↑,
87', Burubwa D. ↓, Gashi A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Henriksson W. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skövde won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Skövde won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Skövde won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Trollhattan	25	10	8	7	42:37	5	38
10	Skovde AIK	25	8	9	8	31:38	-7	33

Last Results with these Odds

Trollhättan - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.5%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skövde AIK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
12.09.26	Ängelholm - Skövde AIK	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Skövde AIK - Trelleborg	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Tvååker - Skövde AIK	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
26.08.26	Skövde AIK - Halmstad	1:2 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Södra
23.08.26	Skövde AIK - Kristianstad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWTLW
- IFK Trollhättan
Swedish Division 1 Södra
11.09.26	Trollhättan - Utsikten	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Trollhättan - Eskilsminne	4:2 ✺
29.08.26	Rosengård 1917 - Trollhättan	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Trollhättan - Trelleborg	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Ängelholm - Trollhättan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
24.04.26	Trollhättan - Skövde AIK	1:1
12.09.25	Skövde AIK - Trollhättan	1:2
28.03.25	Trollhättan - Skövde AIK	6:1
18.10.21	Trollhättan - Skövde AIK	2:0
15.05.21	Skövde AIK - Trollhättan	1:3
28.11.20	Skövde AIK - Trollhättan	4:1
05.07.20	Trollhättan - Skövde AIK	1:0

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