Match Info

1. MFL - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Skopje		Vardar

	1	X	2
	8.00	4.33	1.32
	8.40	4.40	1.29
	8.30	4.62	1.31
	8.80	4.55	1.33	Watch
	8.20	4.30	1.30
	7.71	4.21	1.40
	9.80	5.20	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.46 ↑ (7)	4.52 ↑ (4.41)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skopje
10.7%

Draw
20.1%

Vardar
69.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.7%

20.2%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

19.4%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skopje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skopje than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Skopje - Vardar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Naumovski K. (C) 31. Adem A. 9. Angelov V. 7. Bozinoski A. 8. Cvetkov G. 30. Gordic M. 6. Mecinovic J. 20. Nikolovski K. 70. Poposki D. 15. Serafimov D. 24. Trajcevski D.	95. Taleski D. (G) 6. Babunski D. 32. Castaneda D. 49. Danev D. 21. Jankulov G. 3. Manevski M. 4. Matic M. 71. Miguel Pires 5. Najdovski F. 9. Omeragic A. (C) 10. Zakaric G.
Substitutes
90. Berovikj O. 77. Brdarovski V. 11. Cvetkovski A. 21. Grozdanovski T. 34. Mladenovski S. 10. Papaliski V. 4. Papuli J. 47. Ristoski S. 16. Sekovski D. 12. Suljovikj A. (G) 99. Vlajkovic N.	88. Bosancic N. 27. Cvetkovski F. 14. Diabate S. 23. Duranski F. 31. Markovski I. 18. Mishkovski N. 8. Nikolov B. 34. Puleio I. 17. Spahiu E. 22. Todorovski D. 99. Velkovski M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Angelov V. ⚽,
44', Jankulov G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Mecinovic J. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Zakaric G. ⚽,
68', Poposki D. ↓, Papuli J. ↑,
70', Castaneda D. ↓, Nikolov B. ↑,
70', Miguel Pires ↓, Spahiu E. ↑,
83', Manevski M. 🟨,
85', Angelov V. ↓, Vlajkovic N. ↑,
85', Gordic M. ↓, Berovikj O. ↑,
85', Serafimov D. 🟨,
90+2', Cvetkov G. ↓, Grozdanovski T. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Zakaric G. ⚽,
90+4', Adem A. ↓, Sekovski D. ↑,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 10th in the Relegation - 2. MFL and 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skopje won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Skopje (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Vardar is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Skopje has faced a series of away games on the road.

Vardar holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Skopje has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:8 (averaging 0.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Skopje against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Vardar	11	6	3	2	17:9	8	21
10	FK Skopje	11	0	3	8	5:21	-16	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Skopje
North Macedonian 1 MFL
23.09.26	Bregalnica Štip - Skopje	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	Shkëndija Haraçinë - Skopje	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Arsimi - Skopje	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Skopje - Tikveš	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Sileks - Skopje	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTTL
- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
19.09.26	Vardar - Shkëndija Haraçinë	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Vardar	3:3 ✺
07.09.26	Vardar - Arsimi	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Tikveš - Vardar	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Vardar - Sileks	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
21.05.23	Skopje - Vardar	0:3
North Macedonian Cup
20.10.21	Vardar - Skopje	1:0 penalties
North Macedonian 1 MFL
02.05.18	Vardar - Skopje	0:1
11.03.18	Skopje - Vardar	0:0
05.11.17	Vardar - Skopje	3:0
17.09.17	Skopje - Vardar	1:1

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