Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)


	Skra Częstochowa		ŁKS Łódź II

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.4
	2.6	3.2	2.48
	2.73	3.4	2.5
	2.77	3.17	2.57	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.38
	2.62	3.24	2.39	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.29)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)	2.46 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
34.9%

Draw
28.1%

ŁKS Łódź II
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ŁKS Łódź II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ŁKS Łódź II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łódź II than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ŁKS Łódź II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Skra Częstochowa - ŁKS Łódź II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kramarz F. (G) 31. Estigarribia G. 22. Kaczorowski K. 4. Kucharczyk O. 23. Lawrynowicz I. 18. Lesniak-Paduch N. 16. Niedbala J. 7. Nocon P. (C) 26. Sobczak K. 98. Stangret M. 8. Wrobel M.	1. Idasiak H. (G) 17. Coulibaly L. 15. Falowski K. 13. Iwanczyk A. 6. Kosciuk W. 23. Ksiazek M. 7. Lipien M. 3. Pawlowski J. 4. Rozwandowicz M. 9. Siwek A. 8. Wszolek M.
Substitutes
30. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 10. Kaczmarek M. 88. Kolodziejczyk P. 77. Lorenc M. 20. Magnuszewski K. 9. Noworyta K. 5. Owczarek P. 25. Sadowski H. 11. Winciersz M.	2. Czerwinski W. 19. Grabowski P. 12. Kucharski T. (G) 16. Poplawski K. 22. Saganowski F. 5. Slezak A. 24. Tlaczala B. 21. Wziech M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Iwanczyk A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
58', Sobczak K. ↓, Kaczmarek M. ↑,
58', Wrobel M. ↓, Winciersz M. ↑,
62', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
75', Siwek A. ↓, Poplawski K. ↑,
75', Coulibaly L. ↓, Saganowski F. ↑,
77', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
81', Iwanczyk A. ↓, Wziech M. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
26.11.24	Skra Częstochowa - KKS Kalisz	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Skra Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Skra Częstochowa - Resovia Rzeszów	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Skra Częstochowa	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLWTW
- ŁKS Łódź II
Polish Division 2
23.11.24	Wisła Puławy - ŁKS Łódź II	0:4 ✺
10.11.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Swit Skolwin	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	GKS Jastrzębie - ŁKS Łódź II	0:1 ✺
28.10.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Olimpia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
20.07.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Skra Częstochowa	3:1
03.05.24	Skra Częstochowa - ŁKS Łódź II	3:0
22.10.23	ŁKS Łódź II - Skra Częstochowa	1:3

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