Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 14

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Skra Częstochowa		Olimpia Grudziądz

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	3.55	3.3	1.94
	3.67	3.31	1.95
	3.77	3.38	1.98
	3.69	3.35	1.89	Watch
	3.55	3.3	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.84)	3.32 ↑ (3.18)	1.93 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
25.1%

Draw
27.5%

Olimpia Grudziądz
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

28.4%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skra Częstochowa's form might have worsened.

Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Grudziądz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skra Częstochowa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Grudziądz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kramarz F. (G) 31. Estigarribia G. 23. Lawrynowicz I. 77. Lorenc M. 16. Niedbala J. 7. Nocon P. (C) 5. Owczarek P. 25. Sadowski H. 26. Sobczak K. 98. Stangret M. 8. Wrobel M.	30. Gorski K. (G) 21. Bonikowski J. 10. Cichon K. 44. Frelek D. 7. Kaczmarek T. 4. Kostkowski D. (C) 11. Krocz S. 2. Maruszak I. 26. Sewerzynski O. 93. Tsyupa I. 25. Zbiciak B.
Substitutes
22. Kaczorowski K. . Kolodziejczyk P. . Kroczek D. 4. Kucharczyk O. 20. Magnuszewski K. 85. Noworyta K. 90. Stec J. 99. Warszakowski B. (G) 11. Winciersz M.	33. Depka P. (G) 31. Gomez U. 3. Klimczak A. 72. Koperski F. 9. Mas M. 29. Rychert K. 6. Sikorski O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Tsyupa I. 🟨,
14', Zbiciak B. 🟨,
41', Sobczak K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Wrobel M. ↓, Stec J. ↑,
46', Sobczak K. ↓, Kaczorowski K. ↑,
48', Krocz S. 🟨,
51', Frelek D. 🟨,
63', Krocz S. ↓, Mas M. ↑,
63', Rychert K. ↓, Bonikowski J. ↑,
63', Owczarek P. ↓, Winciersz M. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Mas M. ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
16.10.24	Skra Częstochowa - Polonia Bytom	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	4:1 ✺
04.10.24	Skra Częstochowa - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Skra Częstochowa	4:1 ✺
21.09.24	Skra Częstochowa - Wisła Puławy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWLW
- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
12.10.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Swit Skolwin	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Tychy	4:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
21.09.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
15.03.24	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:0
02.09.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa	0:0
15.05.21	Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa	2:0
22.11.20	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz	4:0
02.03.19	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:4
17.08.18	Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa	4:0

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