Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)

Referee: Karski L. (Pol)


	Skra Częstochowa		GKS Katowice

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.9
	3.6	3.2	2
	3.85	3.1	1.93
	3.7	3.2	1.97
	4.08	3.26	1.98
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.9	3.42	1.92
	3.75	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.32)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	1.96 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
24.2%

Draw
28.7%

GKS Katowice
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

28.4%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

27.5%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Skra Częstochowa - GKS Katowice Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Skra Częstochowa will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). GKS Katowice will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Katowice: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - GIEKSA Arena.

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 1.

Skra Częstochowa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches GKS Katowice is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

GKS Katowice will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Skra Częstochowa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 1
18.09.22	Odra Opole - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Skra Częstochowa - Arka Gdynia	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Resovia Rzeszów - Skra Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
31.08.22	Skra Częstochowa - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
28.08.22	Skra Częstochowa - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLT
- GKS Katowice
Polish Division 1
17.09.22	GKS Katowice - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Górnik Łęczna - GKS Katowice	2:2 ✺
05.09.22	Odra Opole - GKS Katowice	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
31.08.22	Pogoń Szczecin II - GKS Katowice	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
28.08.22	GKS Katowice - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.06.22	GKS Katowice - Skra Częstochowa	0:0
Polish Division 1
27.04.22	GKS Katowice - Skra Częstochowa	3:0
16.10.21	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Katowice	0:0
Polish Division 2
24.04.21	GKS Katowice - Skra Częstochowa	2:1
24.10.20	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Katowice	1:0
07.06.20	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Katowice	1:0
31.08.19	GKS Katowice - Skra Częstochowa	2:0

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