Match Info

ALBANIA: Abissnet Superiore - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Skënderbeu Stadium (Korçë)


	Skënderbeu Korçë		Egnatia Rrogozhinë

	1	X	2
	3.15	3	2.21
	3.05	3.1	2.14
	3.15	3.12	2.22	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.15	3.08	2.19
	3.15	3	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3.11)	3.07 ↓ (3.09)	2.19 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skënderbeu Korçë
29%

Draw
29.6%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

29.4%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

28.9%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skënderbeu Korçë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Egnatia Rrogozhinë have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Skënderbeu Korçë - Egnatia Rrogozhinë Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Alia M. (G) 98. Charles B. 22. Doka A. 14. Gkertsos A. 25. Janaqi D. 8. Krasniqi E. 3. Lucho 11. Nikaj A. 5. Prenci E. (C) 6. Rabiu M. 10. Rashica E.	12. Dabjani I. (G) 6. Aleksi A. 4. Aliyev Z. 14. Doukouo L. 82. Kasa R. 13. Malota R. (C) 16. Ndreca E. 24. Rama R. 36. Ujka S. 9. Vuthaj D. 17. Zejnullai A.
Substitutes
99. Abiodun T. R. 29. Cucka F. 37. Kamleu F. 4. Marcos Ramos 17. Pecani R. 28. Rroku K. (G) 77. Shaqe K. 21. Vangjeli K. 7. Yuri Merlim 32. Zenullari E.	11. Bakayoko S. 27. Drame Y. 3. Dulysse F. 44. Fangaj A. 1. Kuka K. (G) 10. Lushkja R. 22. Madani Y. 98. Troshku T. (G) 8. Wotlai D. 18. Yahaya M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Aliyev Z. 🟨,
44', Lucho 🟥,
45+2', Nikaj A. ↓, Marcos Ramos ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Doukouo L. ↓, Yahaya M. ↑,
63', Charles B. 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Vuthaj D. ⚽,
67', Aleksi A. 🟨,
68', Krasniqi E. 🟨,
76', Malota R. 🟥,
79', Dabjani I. 🟨,
81', Vuthaj D. ↓, Dulysse F. ↑,
82', Janaqi D. ↓, Abiodun T. R. ↑,
82', Krasniqi E. ↓, Cucka F. ↑,
83', Abiodun T. R. 🟨,
84', Gkertsos A. ↓, Shaqe K. ↑,
90', Ujka S. ↓, Lushkja R. ↑,
90', Kasa R. ↓, Wotlai D. ↑,
90+2', Marcos Ramos 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Abissnet Superiore (Relegation) and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Skënderbeu won 2.

Skënderbeu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Egnatia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Egnatia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Egnatia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Skënderbeu won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:7 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Skënderbeu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skënderbeu Korçë
Albanian Super League
29.09.24	Tirana - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Skënderbeu Korçë - Laçi	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Dinamo City - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Skënderbeu Korçë - Teuta Durrës	2:3 ✺
25.08.24	Partizani Tirana - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Albanian Super League
27.09.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Partizani Tirana	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	AF Elbasani - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Bylis Ballsh	4:0 ✺
11.09.24	Vllaznia Shkodër - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Albanian Super League
16.03.24	Skënderbeu Korçë - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2:0
13.01.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Skënderbeu Korçë	1:0
28.10.23	Skënderbeu Korçë - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:1
26.08.23	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1
Albanian Cup
18.01.23	Skënderbeu Korçë - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1
Albanian Super League
24.04.22	Skënderbeu Korçë - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1
19.02.22	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:0

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