Match Info

Albanian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Kombetare (Tirana) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	12:00	FIFA+


	Tirana		Skënderbeu Korçë

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.35	11
	1.32	4.35	8.8	Watch
	1.36	4	7
	1.28	4.15	12.5
	1.4	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.9)	4.17 ↑ (3.3)	9.06 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tirana
68.3%

Draw
21.7%

Skënderbeu Korçë
10%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

29.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tirana's performance.

Skënderbeu Korçë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Skënderbeu Korçë might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirana than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tirana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skënderbeu Korçë could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tirana - Skënderbeu Korçë Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Myslovic P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 1 - 1, Janaqi D. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
119', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tirana won 2.

Recent form of Tirana has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Skënderbeu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tirana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tirana won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:18. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tirana won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Tirana
Albanian Super League
24.12.25	AF Elbasani - Tirana	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Tirana - Vllaznia Shkodër	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Teuta Durrës - Tirana	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Tirana - Partizani Tirana	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Dinamo City - Tirana	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TTTLL
- Skënderbeu Korçë
Albanian First Division
21.12.25	Kukësi - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Iliria - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Laçi - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Pogradeci	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Lushnja	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian Super League
12.04.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Tirana	1:1
16.02.25	Tirana - Skënderbeu Korçë	1:0
05.12.24	Skënderbeu Korçë - Tirana	0:0
29.09.24	Tirana - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:1
08.04.24	Skënderbeu Korçë - Tirana	0:0
28.01.24	Tirana - Skënderbeu Korçë	3:4
05.11.23	Skënderbeu Korçë - Tirana	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Tirana
Albanian Super League
29.10.26	Tirana - Dinamo City	✺
- Skënderbeu Korçë
Albanian Super League
28.10.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Laçi	✺

Tirana - Skënderbeu Korçë