Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Södermalms IP (Skövde)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Skövde AIK		AFC Malmö

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.15
	3.25	3.5	2	Watch
	3.58	3.55	1.95
	3.62	3.49	1.97	Watch
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.95	3.74	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)	1.97 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skövde AIK
26.8%

Draw
26.6%

AFC Malmö
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

26.4%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.4%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Skövde AIK have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skövde AIK than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Skövde AIK - AFC Malmö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Torstensson G. (G) 4. Basic A. 2. Elofsson G. 3. Johnson S. 18. Land L. 8. Lennerskog O. (C) 10. Nordstrom E. 17. Nylen V. 7. Skillermo E. 16. Sodeliden A. 6. Strom E.	1. Brandin O. (G) 22. Alievski E. 30. Awad A. 19. Fatahi M. 5. Larsen L. 21. Martinsson F. 6. Nouri B. (C) 37. Petrovic P. 11. Reinholdsson A. 99. Sener C. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A.
Substitutes
9. Agerborn M. 22. Olofsson E. 13. Remmerfelt A. 11. Samuelsson L. 35. van Rooijen T. (G) 15. Yoro E.	36. Christiansson V. 7. Eliassi E. 12. Hebrunn G. 2. Karim S. 17. Podrimcaku A. 10. Reuterskiold A. 25. Sjoberg J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Nouri B. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Sener C. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Reinholdsson A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', Lennerskog O. ↓, Agerborn M. ↑,
62', Nordstrom E. ↓, Yoro E. ↑,
68', Reinholdsson A. ↓, Reuterskiold A. ↑,
70', Nylen V. ↓, Remmerfelt A. ↑,
71', Strom E. ↓, Olofsson E. ↑,
76', Sodeliden A. ↓, Samuelsson L. ↑,
82', Petrovic P. ↓, Christiansson V. ↑,
82', Awad A. ↓, Eliassi E. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Sener C. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 4, Sener C. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Skövde may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

AFC Malmö might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Skövde won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Skövde won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AFC Malmo	25	11	8	6	45:35	10	41
10	Skovde AIK	25	8	9	8	31:38	-7	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skövde AIK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
17.05.26	Eskilsminne - Skövde AIK	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Utsikten - Skövde AIK	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Skövde AIK - Ängelholm	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Skövde AIK - Åtvidaberg	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Trollhättan - Skövde AIK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWTTT
- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
18.05.26	AFC Malmö - Tvååker	0:1 ✺
14.05.26	Trollhättan - AFC Malmö	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	AFC Malmö - Hässleholm	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Utsikten - AFC Malmö	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Åtvidaberg - AFC Malmö	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
07.09.25	AFC Malmö - Skövde AIK	1:1
10.05.25	Skövde AIK - AFC Malmö	2:2

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