The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Slavia Sofia 54.4%
Draw 26.4%
Beroe Stara Zagora 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
28.5%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
28.7%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slavia Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slavia Sofia's performance.
Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beroe Stara Zagora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Sofia than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slavia Sofia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beroe Stara Zagora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
9.1%
27.3%
Slavia Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Slavia Sofia will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Beroe will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Slavia Sofia: 35.2% โ 92%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Slavia Sofia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Ntumba L. (G) 87. Diego 6. Georgiev M. 24. Marin L. 20. Semedo J. 71. Stoyanov K. 11. Dosso M. 73. Minchev I. 19. Tasev T. 10. Guermouche Y. 18. Balov K.
1. Arthur (G) 14. Valkov V. 3. Salomoni J. 4. Costantini F. 23. Sonha T. 24. Gavrilov S. 5. Caio Lopes 10. Nene 21. Salido Tajero A. 7. Pineda J. 15. Alarcon F.
Substitutes
7. Aleksandrov D. 99. Andonov I. (G) 2. Chung Chan T. 21. Medved V. 14. Miletic M. 22. Naydenov I. 9. Raychev R. 23. Todorov B. 15. Varganov A.
27. Dabo A. 17. Dual W. 11. Ferrer I. 22. Georgiev M. 12. Georgiev M. 2. Longinotti V. 8. Masogo A. 99. Quintero V. (G) 18. Rusenov S.
Coaches
Zagorcic Z.
Sageras A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Caio Lopes 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Nene ↓, Ferrer I. ↑,
66', Minchev I. ↓, Raychev R. ↑,
66', Tasev T. ↓, Aleksandrov D. ↑,
80', Gavrilov S. ↓, Masogo A. ↑,
80', Sonha T. ↓, Dabo A. ↑,
86', Balov K. ↓, Miletic M. ↑,
88', Stoyanov K. 🟨,
88', Alarcon F. ↓, Georgiev M. ↑,
90+2', Masogo A. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slavia Sofia won 3.
Slavia Sofia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Beroe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Beroe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Slavia Sofia is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slavia Sofia won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Slavia Sofia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.8:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Beroe Stara Zagora - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.41%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.