The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 44.3%
Draw 29.6%
Slavia Sofia 26.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.3%
29.7%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
28.5%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Slavia Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Sofia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.7%
57.1%
7.1%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Slavia Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Slavia Sofia will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% โ 83%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 2. Cova A. 4. Chindris A. 94. Matheus Brito 5. Pavlov T. 22. Ivanov I. 39. Umarbaev P. 11. Leijten R. 10. Iliev Y. 29. Longville C. 19. Burban J.
99. Andonov I. (G) 87. Diego 26. Burov D. 24. Marin L. 4. Savic N. 77. Stoev E. 73. Minchev I. 71. Stoyanov K. 95. Miletic V. 17. Kazaldzhiev V. 10. Nikolov V.
Substitutes
3. Ali D. 33. Dzhelepov Y. 17. Fase A. 26. Kirashki D. 99. Lamy J. 13. Lucas Ryan 44. Petrovic M. 6. Trdan M. 9. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)
23. Antonov I. 27. Balde U. 9. Bornosuzov Y. 19. Gogev E. 5. Malembana D. 63. Ntumba L. (G) 7. Raychev R. 20. Semedo J. 8. Shopov G. 6. Todorov B.
Coaches
Kosic D.
Dostanic R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Ivanov I. 🟨,
13', Stoyanov K. ↓, Shopov G. ↑,
16', Balde U. 🟨,
26', Stoev E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mrankov D. ↓, Leijten R. ↑,
58', Savic N. 🟨,
69', Stoev E. ↓, Raychev R. ↑,
69', Balde U. ↓, Kazaldzhiev V. ↑,
70', Ivanov I. 🟨,
76', Longville C. ↓, Ali D. ↑,
76', Umarbaev P. ↓, Trdan M. ↑,
83', Shopov G. ↓, Antonov I. ↑,
83', Minchev I. ↓, Dosso M. ↑,
86', Chindris A. 🟨,
90', Burban J. ↓, Lamy J. ↑,
90', Iliev Y. ↓, Matheus Brito ↑,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 12th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 8th in the Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 3.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Slavia Sofia have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Lokomotiv Plovdiv may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lokomotiv Plovdiv holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Plovdiv has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:17 (averaging 1.4:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv Plovdiv against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 13:8 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Slavia Sofia
12
2
6
4
9:9
0
12
11
Lok. Plovdiv
12
2
3
7
6:14
-8
9
Last Results with these Odds
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.29%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.