Match Info

Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1


	Sloboda Tuzla		Željezničar Sarajevo

	1	X	2
	8.1	4.45	1.31
	8.05	4.23	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.08 ↑ (6.95)	4.34 ↓ (5)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sloboda Tuzla
11.3%

Draw
21%

Željezničar Sarajevo
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

18.3%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

17.4%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sloboda Tuzla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Željezničar Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloboda Tuzla than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Sloboda Tuzla - Željezničar Sarajevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
88', 0 - 1, Alic E. ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 2, Boljevic A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sloboda Tuzla won 1.

Sloboda Tuzla is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Željezničar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Željezničar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Željezničar is the clear favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sloboda Tuzla won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sloboda Tuzla won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sloboda Tuzla
Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
26.10.25	Sloboda Tuzla - Stupčanica Olovo	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Bratstvo Gračanica - Sloboda Tuzla	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Sloboda Tuzla - Budućnost Banovići	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Sloboda Tuzla - Igman Konjic	3:2 ✺
27.09.25	Tomislav - Sloboda Tuzla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLWL
- Željezničar Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
25.10.25	Rudar Prijedor - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Željezničar Sarajevo - Posušje	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Radnik Bijeljina - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Željezničar Sarajevo - Sarajevo	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Široki Brijeg - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
04.05.25	Željezničar Sarajevo - Sloboda Tuzla	3:2
30.11.24	Željezničar Sarajevo - Sloboda Tuzla	3:0
24.08.24	Sloboda Tuzla - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:1
Bosnian Cup
28.09.23	Sloboda Tuzla - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:0
Bosnian Premier League
28.05.23	Sloboda Tuzla - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:2
04.03.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Sloboda Tuzla	1:0
10.09.22	Sloboda Tuzla - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:1

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