Match Info

WWIN Liga BiH - Round 28

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion Tusanj (Tuzla)

Referee: Gigovic M. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go


	Sloboda Tuzla		Posušje

	1	X	2
	8.75	4.8	1.27
	11	5.2	1.26
	5.32	4.3	1.37
	7.49	4.53	1.36	Watch
	11.4	4.5	1.3
	11	5.2	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.16 ↑ (4.49)	4.76 ↑ (3.37)	1.3 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sloboda Tuzla
10%

Draw
19.4%

Posušje
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

27.4%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

27.1%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sloboda Tuzla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sloboda Tuzla's form might have worsened.

Posušje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Posušje's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloboda Tuzla than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sloboda Tuzla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Posušje than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Posušje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sloboda Tuzla - Posušje Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Posušje (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Sloboda Tuzla (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sloboda Tuzla (votes: 1 - 50%). Posušje (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lolic E. (G) 29. Bojo P. 10. Dzafic A. 17. Fai C. 24. Hadzanovic A. 4. Hasanbegovic E. 55. Jasarevic I. 46. Jovasevic M. 14. Kurtalic A. (C) 16. Mesinovic B. 15. Raca A.	1. Soldo A. (G) 3. Bekavac A. 20. Beslic J. 99. Boban G. (C) 47. Culjak F. 27. Hanuljak M. 18. Joao Erick 96. Kobiljar R. 19. Maric I. 33. Pavkovic D. 15. Stapic K.
Substitutes
77. Abidovic V. 13. Balic B. (G) 21. Beganovic A. 99. Dervisagic K. 8. Husejinovic S. 18. Joguncic A. 23. Kalesic D. 7. Numanovic M. 22. Said A.	2. Abrego F. 77. Bacak B. (G) 22. Begic Z. 11. Camber D. 16. Curdo B. 12. Galic M. (G) 97. Miocic N. 30. Mulalic E. 13. Siric D. 9. Zivkovic A.
Coaches
Jankovic I.	Maksimovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Kurtalic A. 🟨,
15', Hadzanovic A. 🟨,
15', Jasarevic I. 🟨,
19', Jovasevic M. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Fai C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Raca A. ↓, Dervisagic K. ↑,
46', Hadzanovic A. ↓, Beganovic A. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Dzafic A. ⚽,
69', Fai C. ↓, Said A. ↑,
70', Bojo P. ↓, Kalesic D. ↑,
73', Boban G. ↓, Zivkovic A. ↑,
73', Hanuljak M. ↓, Begic Z. ↑,
81', Dervisagic K. 🟥,

Preview

Sloboda Tuzla is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sloboda Tuzla won 0.

Sloboda Tuzla is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Posušje is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Posušje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Posušje is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sloboda Tuzla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2:11 (average 0.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Sloboda Tuzla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sloboda Tuzla
Bosnian Premier League
22.04.25	Sarajevo - Sloboda Tuzla	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Sloboda Tuzla - Radnik Bijeljina	2:3 ✺
11.04.25	Borac Banja Luka - Sloboda Tuzla	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Sloboda Tuzla - Velež Mostar	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Sloboda Tuzla	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 TLLTL
- HŠK Posušje
Bosnian Premier League
22.04.25	Radnik Bijeljina - Posušje	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Posušje - Velež Mostar	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Široki Brijeg - Posušje	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Posušje - Sloga Doboj	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Željezničar Sarajevo - Posušje	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
08.11.24	Posušje - Sloboda Tuzla	2:0
10.08.24	Sloboda Tuzla - Posušje	0:2
08.04.23	Posušje - Sloboda Tuzla	2:0
13.11.22	Posušje - Sloboda Tuzla	2:1
27.08.22	Sloboda Tuzla - Posušje	0:1
16.04.22	Posušje - Sloboda Tuzla	0:0
06.03.22	Posušje - Sloboda Tuzla	1:0

Sloboda Tuzla - Posušje: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide