Match Info

WWIN Liga BiH - Round 24

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Gradski stadion Tusanj (Tuzla)

Referee: Kazlagic M. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 4


	Sloboda Tuzla		Velež Mostar

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.75	1.47
	6.2	3.65	1.55
	6.76	3.65	1.5	Watch
	6.78	3.72	1.5
	6.2	3.65	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.34 ↓ (7.5)	3.68 ↓ (4.45)	1.51 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sloboda Tuzla
14.5%

Draw
24.9%

Velež Mostar
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

20.8%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

18.1%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sloboda Tuzla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Velež Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Velež Mostar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sloboda Tuzla than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velež Mostar than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sloboda Tuzla - Velež Mostar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Velež Mostar will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Velež Mostar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lolic E. (G) 21. Beganovic A. 19. Beganovic H. 24. Hadzanovic A. 4. Hasanbegovic E. 5. Husic S. 55. Jasarevic I. 14. Kurtalic A. (C) 16. Mesinovic B. 15. Raca A. 22. Said A.	1. Karic T. (G) 21. Djuric V. 6. Halilovic D. 8. Hrkac A. 11. Mlinaric M. 4. Ologo Inainfe M. 9. Pierrot F. 7. Prses O. 70. Sreckovic N. 23. Sturm K. 28. Vehabovic E. (C)
Substitutes
29. Bojo P. 99. Dervisagic K. 77. Hasanovic H. 8. Husejinovic S. 18. Joguncic A. 23. Kalesic D. 27. Lamadzema K. 13. Muminovic A. (G) 7. Numanovic M.	45. Djuliman K. 22. Isasegi K. 33. Jogunovic H. 65. Kuko O. 80. Laus T. B. 13. Lohan 47. Milak A. 12. Ribic F. (G) 20. Saric I. 18. Savic N. 16. Sikalo T.
Coaches
Jankovic I.	Buz I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Mesinovic B. 🟨,
23', Hadzanovic A. 🟨,
26', Prses O. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Halilovic D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Raca A. ↓, Lamadzema K. ↑,
58', Prses O. ↓, Lohan ↑,
59', Beganovic A. ↓, Bojo P. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Bojo P. ⚽,
70', Hadzanovic A. ↓, Kalesic D. ↑,
71', Pierrot F. ↓, Milak A. ↑,
74', Jasarevic I. ↓, Dervisagic K. ↑,
76', Sreckovic N. ↓, Laus T. B. ↑,
86', Kalesic D. 🟨,
90+4', Vehabovic E. 🟨,

Preview

Sloboda Tuzla is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sloboda Tuzla won 0.

Sloboda Tuzla is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Velež Mostar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Velež Mostar is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sloboda Tuzla won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.7:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sloboda Tuzla won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sloboda Tuzla
Bosnian Premier League
28.03.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Sloboda Tuzla	5:0 ✺
16.03.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Sloboda Tuzla	3:2 ✺
07.03.25	Sloboda Tuzla - GOŠK Gabela	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sloga Doboj - Sloboda Tuzla	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Sloboda Tuzla - Radnik Bijeljina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLTLW
- Velež Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
28.03.25	Široki Brijeg - Velež Mostar	2:5 ✺
16.03.25	Posušje - Velež Mostar	1:1 ✺
Bosnian Cup
12.03.25	Velež Mostar - Široki Brijeg	1:2 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
08.03.25	Velež Mostar - Sarajevo	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Velež Mostar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
07.12.24	Velež Mostar - Sloboda Tuzla	1:0
14.09.24	Sloboda Tuzla - Velež Mostar	1:1
19.03.23	Velež Mostar - Sloboda Tuzla	0:0
16.10.22	Velež Mostar - Sloboda Tuzla	1:0
14.09.22	Sloboda Tuzla - Velež Mostar	1:1
10.04.22	Sloboda Tuzla - Velež Mostar	1:2
08.11.21	Sloboda Tuzla - Velež Mostar	1:1

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