Match Info

SERBIA: Prva Liga - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Radomir Antic (Uzice)


	Sloboda Užice		Grafičar Beograd

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.14	3.05	3.3
	2.04	3.1	3.52
	2.15	3.07	3.64	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.03	3.2	3.41
	2.14	3.05	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.5)	3.1 ↑ (3)	3.32 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sloboda Užice
43.3%

Draw
29.4%

Grafičar Beograd
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

30.4%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

30.3%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sloboda Užice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sloboda Užice's performance.

Grafičar Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grafičar Beograd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sloboda Užice than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sloboda Užice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grafičar Beograd than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grafičar Beograd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sloboda Užice - Grafičar Beograd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Savic L. (G) 11. Djukic A. 13. Glisovic D. 15. Glisovic R. 3. Jakobi L. 26. Jankovic M. 24. Myung Se-Jin 9. Pavlovic L. 8. Raskovic S. 29. Savic M. 25. Zogovic J.	93. Vranes V. (G) 15. Charles S. 16. Ebere E. 14. Markisic F. 7. Matejevic I. 98. Mladenovic V. 8. Nikolic L. 5. Savic M. 19. Stojanovic S. 13. Vasiljevic F. 18. Velickovic S.
Substitutes
16. Baglieri E. 19. Cveticanin L. 30. Grbic N. 22. Long J. 5. Milovanovic L. 7. Mitkov K. 20. Nikolasevic M. 18. Starcevic O. 10. Stojanovic I. 6. Susnjarevic I. 12. Vukadinovic V. (G)	88. Ajdar O. 23. Delibasic N. 22. Eric V. (G) 27. Kostic I. 77. Ostojic M. 80. Radonjic M. 9. Spasojevic M. 6. Su Yuliang 78. Tucker J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 🟨,
28', Ebere E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
45', Ebere E. ↓, Ajdar O. ↑,
46', Pavlovic L. 🟨,
64', Stojanovic S. 🟨,
67', Pavlovic L. ↓, Cveticanin L. ↑,
67', Jakobi L. ↓, Stojanovic I. ↑,
73', Stojanovic I. ↓, Starcevic O. ↑,
75', Mladenovic V. ↓, Spasojevic M. ↑,
77', Velickovic S. 🟨,
82', Vasiljevic F. ↓, Radonjic M. ↑,
90+5', Djukic A. ↓, Mitkov K. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Sloboda Užice
Serbian Prva Liga
10.11.24	Sloboda Užice - Borac Čačak	0:0 ✺
04.11.24	Radnik Surdulica - Sloboda Užice	2:0 ✺
Serbian Cup
30.10.24	Sloboda Užice - Napredak Kruševac	2:3 penalties ✺
Serbian Prva Liga
26.10.24	Sloboda Užice - Mačva Šabac	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Smederevo - Sloboda Užice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLWL
- Grafičar Beograd
Serbian Prva Liga
11.11.24	Mladost Novi Sad - Grafičar Beograd	3:1 ✺
04.11.24	Grafičar Beograd - Inđija	2:0 ✺
Serbian Cup
30.10.24	Grafičar Beograd - Železničar Pančevo	2:1 ✺
Serbian Prva Liga
26.10.24	Javor Ivanjica - Grafičar Beograd	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Grafičar Beograd - Zemun	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
03.08.24	Grafičar Beograd - Sloboda Užice	3:1
13.04.24	Sloboda Užice - Grafičar Beograd	1:1
05.11.23	Grafičar Beograd - Sloboda Užice	5:1
27.03.23	Sloboda Užice - Grafičar Beograd	2:1
29.09.22	Grafičar Beograd - Sloboda Užice	2:4

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